Fight HQ

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · breakdown

UFC 301 Preview, DFS/Betting Analysis, and Fight Picks

26 months ago 5W–5L · -2.5u

Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event

Jonathan Martinez v José Aldo MONEYLINE LOST

“I'm G to lean towards Jonathan Martinezez to win a decision”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +2%

◆ entry$1.77 → close$1.73

entry: Wind Creek (Betfred PA) · best in any region at publish

Vitor Petrino v Anthony Smith PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“I'm G to be back in vtor patrino to win by Koo here”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.20 → close$1.20

Petrino’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.18

Michel Pereira v Ihor Potieria PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“I think that Michel Pereira is going to win via ground and pound”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.17 → close$1.17

Pereira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.17

Myktybek Orolbai v Elves Brener PROP · KO/TKO LOST

“oral by I'm gonna be picking him”

fight iq ↗

Moneyline since pick CLV −1%

◆ entry$1.40 → close$1.42

Orolbai’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.40

Joanderson Brito v Jack Shore MONEYLINE WON

“I'm gonna go Jo Anderson Breo”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.65 → close$1.65

entry: TAB · best in any region at publish

Iasmin Lucindo v Karolina Kowalkiewicz MONEYLINE WON

“I'm going to go Yasmine Iasmin Lucindo”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.25 → close$1.25

entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish

Drakkar Klose v Joaquim Silva MONEYLINE WON

“I'm going to go William Gomez”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +1%

◆ entry$1.61 → close$1.59

entry: SuperBook · best in any region at publish

Ismael Bonfim v Vinc Pichel MONEYLINE WON

“give me bon bon”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +0%

◆ entry$1.20 → close$1.20

entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish

Steve Erceg v Alexandre Pantoja MONEYLINE LOST —

“I'm going to lean towards EG to win a nailbiter decision”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV +18%

◆ entry$3.08 → close$2.60

entry: PointsBet (AU) · best in any region at publish

Alessandro Costa v Kevin Borjas MONEYLINE WON —

“give me allesandro Alessandro Costa”

fight iq ↗

Line since pick CLV −5%

◆ entry$1.77 → close$1.87

entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish