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UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · breakdown

UFC 324 Full Card Predictions & Analysis | Gaethje vs Pimblett

RE RearNakedLocks60% hit
5 months ago 5W–6L · +2.1u 11/13 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
JG Justin Gaethje v Paddy Pimblett MONEYLINE WON
“I got my boy NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 Pivot by submission.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.00 close$3.00
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
JG Justin Gaethje v Paddy Pimblett PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I got my boy NOT_IN_ROSTER_8 Pivot by submission.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.00 close$3.00
Gaethje’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RT Ricky Turcios v Cameron Smotherman PROP · SUBMISSION VALUE
“I got NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 by sub. I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_4's a lock here. Uh Justin Gaethje Gi maybe a couple years ago maybe could have used volume and kicks to um you know keep NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 at distance but I think Gi get sloppy and he's going to get put on his back and submitted.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.66 now$2.66
Turcios’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
RT Ricky Turcios v Cameron Smotherman MONEYLINE VALUE
“I got NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 by sub. I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_4's a lock here. Uh Justin Gaethje Gi maybe a couple years ago maybe could have used volume and kicks to um you know keep NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 at distance but I think Gi get sloppy and he's going to get put on his back and submitted.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.66 now$2.66
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
WC Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Derrick Lewis MONEYLINE WON
“I'll take NOT_IN_ROSTER_11 by decision.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
WC Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Derrick Lewis PROP · DECISION LOST
“I'll take NOT_IN_ROSTER_11 by decision.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.33
Cortes-Acosta’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AA Arnold Allen v Jean Silva MONEYLINE LOST
“I got Jean Silva inside the distance, man. Yeah, I mean, uh, you know, no disrespect to Arnold Allen. I think he's a phenomenal fighter, but I think it's a tough match up for him.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.50 close$3.50
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
NK Nikita Krylov v Modestas Bukauskas PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I got um Umar by submission round three. I feel like round one, um, like Umar probably takes him down. Round two, Big Diggy has some, you know, some success in round three, like Umar just gets it done.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.27 close$2.30
Krylov’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NK Nikita Krylov v Modestas Bukauskas MONEYLINE WON
“I got um Umar by submission round three. I feel like round one, um, like Umar probably takes him down. Round two, Big Diggy has some, you know, some success in round three, like Umar just gets it done.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.27 close$2.30
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
AG Ateba Gautier v Andrey Pulyaev MONEYLINE WON
“I got Guutier round one KO.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.13 close$1.13
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
AF Adam Fugitt v Ty Miller PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I got um Ty Miller by KO here. 25 year old female man. Like if he gets too [__] it clean, guy is definitely gonna be a prospect to watch.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −12%
◆ entry$4.60 close$5.25
Fugitt’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AF Adam Fugitt v Ty Miller MONEYLINE LOST
“I got um Ty Miller by KO here. 25 year old female man. Like if he gets too [__] it clean, guy is definitely gonna be a prospect to watch.”
Line since pick CLV −12%
◆ entry$4.60 close$5.25
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
JS Jean Silva v Arnold Allen MONEYLINE WON
“I think Jean Silva 29 28 decision. Jean Silva here.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.42 close$1.43
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish