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Bettor in Green
UFC Freedom 250 · breakdown

UFC Freedom 250 Predictions: Full Card Breakdown + Best Bets

BG Bettor in Green52% hit
3 weeks ago 7W–3L · -0.4u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DL Diego Lopes v Steve Garcia MONEYLINE WON
“I also agree. I think it's going to be Diego Lopes and uh, I'm going to take the money line here to be safe.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.66 close$1.69
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
BN Bo Nickal v Kyle Daukaus MONEYLINE WON
“I really I think that that's the best bet here. I really do think that you're right there, Bobby.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.31 close$1.33
entry: Hard Rock Bet · best in any region at publish
MR Maurício Ruffy v Michael Chandler MONEYLINE WON
“I I agree. It's going to be Maurício Ruffy.”
Line since pick CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.15 close$1.18
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
JH Josh Hokit v Derrick Lewis PROP · KO/TKO WON
“I would love nothing more than to see one last Derrick Lewis KO on the biggest stage there possibly can be, right? Historic event never been done before. America's 250th birthday on the EVENT_DETAILS in front of all these people. uh in front of, you know, millions watching around the world and at home. You know, this this guy who grew up, you know, had to evacuate New Orleans with Hurricane Katrina, grew up in poverty in Houston, Texas, supported his family. You know, when hurricane struck Houston, he was going around pulling people out of the flood waters a few years ago, helping people out, rescuing people. Very emotional, very uplifting guy by all accounts, a family man. seems to really love his wife. All the things you'd want. UFC record holder. Most knockouts in UFC history across all divisions. I don't see it though. I just don't see it with this fight. I would love nothing more than it to happen. Derrick Lewis is my boy, but I failed to see anything other than Josh Hokit rushing him round one instantly applying the pressure, flipping him off, getting in his head, and just I mean, he's the way smaller guy, but we've seen that happen before uh where the smaller guy moving up a weight class or just, you know, not cutting as much weight or whatever has the skill and the speed and the athleticism and the youth like Josh Hokit does and just rushers on me, just gets a round one KO. KO TKO and it just continues. Derrick Lewis's just there for a paycheck.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.25
Hokit’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SO Sean O'Malley v Aiemann Zahabi MONEYLINE WON
“I really like Sean O'Malley here. I feel I feel that, you know, Sean O'Malley, he got almost all of his aura drained with the NOT_IN_ROSTER_43 losses. Now he's back and we were talking about this earlier too. Hasn't really had that highlight Sean O'Malley moment. Um I think he might have it here. Just listen to the way that he's been talking. Aiemann Zahabi also I try not to be disrespectful on the show, but I just don't think he's faced the same caliber uh fighter as Sean O'Malley. I don't think he's going to hold up. I think Sean O'Malley is going to be able to get the KO here, man. I think that we're going to be able to see uh vintage Sean O'Malley performance. You can get the KO at plus 185, decision at plus 100. With KO decision minus 400, he's definitely not getting the sub. I don't see Aiemann Zahabi winning this one, man. I really see it being Sean O'Malley.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.25
entry: Winamax (FR) · best in any region at publish
SO Sean O'Malley v Aiemann Zahabi PROP · KO/TKO WON
“Give me the KO man. G give me the knockout on Aiemann Zahabi.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.25
O'Malley’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AP Alex Pereira v Ciryl Gane MONEYLINE LOST
“I think Alex Pereira does it, man. I think Alex Pereira goes up. I think he knocks out Ciryl Gane. I don't think I have to take it. The minus 110. Let's just check just for craps and giggles. Plus 150 for KO. See, that's not good enough. And plus 650 for decision. That's not That's not going to do it for me. I think Alex Pereira wins. I think Alex Pereira wins by KO. That'll be my topology prediction. But for the show, uh Alex Pereira moneyline is just fine for me. The minus 110.”
Line since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.95 close$1.99
entry: Betr (AU) · best in any region at publish
AP Alex Pereira v Ciryl Gane PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think Alex Pereira does it, man. I think Alex Pereira goes up. I think he knocks out Ciryl Gane. I don't think I have to take it. The minus 110. Let's just check just for craps and giggles. Plus 150 for KO. See, that's not good enough. And plus 650 for decision. That's not That's not going to do it for me. I think Alex Pereira wins. I think Alex Pereira wins by KO. That'll be my topology prediction. But for the show, uh Alex Pereira moneyline is just fine for me. The minus 110.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.95 close$1.99
Pereira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
IT Ilia Topuria v Justin Gaethje MONEYLINE LOST
“I dude he's he's going to win this fight. I think he's going to get the knockout. I mean, he like you said, he could get the sub. I think that putting him out cold uh in front of like you said, he he'll he doesn't care. He'll put Justin Gaethje out in his own living room, man. He doesn't care that he's putting him out at home. In fact, I think Ilia Topuria gets off on it a little bit. Especially now, I mean, hey, from what I'm hearing, bro, Ilia Topuria's a Miami guy now. You can get some get a couple ladies on your arm down in uh Miami with a big White House knockout. You know, being Ilia Topuria, I don't think he needs a White House knockout for that. But, dude, minus 225. It says it all right there. I I think Ilia Topuria to gets the knockout.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.23 close$1.24
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
JH Josh Hokit v Derrick Lewis MONEYLINE WON
“I love Derrick Lewis. Derrick Lewis Derrick Lewis will forever be one of my top 15 favorite fighters. Uh, but at this point, Derrick Lewis, if I'm being honest with myself, is a far cry of Derrick Lewis of old.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25 close$1.25
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish