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Oliveira vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
JP
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Peña vs NunesMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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SP
Neal vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight
KK
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Kara-France vs GarbrandtMain Card · Flyweight
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O'Malley vs PaivaMain Card · Bantamweight
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Emmett vs IgePreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Blanchfield vs MaverickEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Hall vs MinnerEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Kelley vs CostaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Robertson vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
DP
Oliveira vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
JP
AN
Peña vs NunesMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
GN
SP
Neal vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight
KK
CG
Kara-France vs GarbrandtMain Card · Flyweight
SO
RP
O'Malley vs PaivaMain Card · Bantamweight
JE
DI
Emmett vs IgePreliminary Card · Featherweight
DC
PM
Cruz vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TT
AS
Tuivasa vs SakaiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BS
JW
Silva vs WrightPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AM
EA
Muniz vs AndersEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
EB
MM
Blanchfield vs MaverickEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
RH
DM
Hall vs MinnerEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
TK
RC
Kelley vs CostaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
GR
PC
Robertson vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Neal v Ponzinibbio
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Neal 16-7
VS
30-8 Ponzinibbio
5'11"
height
6'0"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
75"
reach
73"
35
age
39
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
4.7
51%
striking accuracy
41%
5.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
57%
striking defence
61%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
50%
takedown accuracy
32%
87%
takedown defence
66%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“I think neil's a little bit cleaner of a striker... I think he's a little tougher.”
$1.91
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“I think neil's a little bit cleaner of a striker... I think he's a little tougher.”
$1.91
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“i still like neil to win here”
MMA EXPERTS picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“i still like neil to win here”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“i think comes out here and knocks out ponzinio so yeah Geoff Neal is one of my more favorite dogs”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“i think comes out here and knocks out ponzinio so yeah Geoff Neal is one of my more favorite dogs”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“Geoff Neal is an underdog against Santiago Ponzinibbio i believe that line has turned uh yeah i think it has yeah it has actually um in in the last week or so maybe it's to do with jeff neil's problems uh outside of the cage he was caught you know arrested and things like that so uh maybe it's to do with that but ponzinibio is the favorite there now”
Sherdog.com picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“Geoff Neal is an underdog against Santiago Ponzinibbio i believe that line has turned uh yeah i think it has yeah it has actually um in in the last week or so maybe it's to do with jeff neil's problems uh outside of the cage he was caught you know arrested and things like that so uh maybe it's to do with that but ponzinibio is the favorite there now”
KU
Kunath picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“i like Geoff Neal this week”
Kunath picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“i like Geoff Neal this week”
WP
We Want Picks picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE
“Santiago Ponzinibbio is the pick and a half a unit money line is what i've got going on Santiago Ponzinibbio here”
We Want Picks picks Santiago Ponzinibbio VALUE
“Santiago Ponzinibbio is the pick and a half a unit money line is what i've got going on Santiago Ponzinibbio here”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“I think Geoff Neal has a lot more to his game”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“I think Geoff Neal has a lot more to his game”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Geoff Neal
“Geoff Neal uh Santiago Ponzinibbio”
Greedo Plays picks Geoff Neal
“Geoff Neal uh Santiago Ponzinibbio”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Geoff Neal
“jeff neal versus Santiago Ponzinibbio prediction”
MMA JOEY picks Geoff Neal
“jeff neal versus Santiago Ponzinibbio prediction”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“jeff neal versus Santiago Ponzinibbio prediction”
MMA JOEY picks Santiago Ponzinibbio
“jeff neal versus Santiago Ponzinibbio prediction”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Neal16-7
L
Medić
Feb '26
L
Prates
Aug '25
W
Anjos
Oct '24
L
Garry
Feb '24
L
Rakhmonov
Mar '23
Ponzinibbio30-8
L
Rodriguez
May '25
W
Harris
Jan '25
L
Salikhov
Jul '24
L
Holland
Apr '23
W
Morono
Dec '22