MMA Prophecy
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UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
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CO DP Oliveira vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight JP AN Peña vs NunesMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight GN SP Neal vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight KK CG Kara-France vs GarbrandtMain Card · Flyweight SO RP O'Malley vs PaivaMain Card · Bantamweight JE DI Emmett vs IgePreliminary Card · Featherweight DC PM Cruz vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TT AS Tuivasa vs SakaiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BS JW Silva vs WrightPreliminary Card · Middleweight AM EA Muniz vs AndersEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight EB MM Blanchfield vs MaverickEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RH DM Hall vs MinnerEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight TK RC Kelley vs CostaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight GR PC Robertson vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Cruz v Munhoz Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Cruz 6
4 Munhoz
MUKWTR pick Cruz
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cruz 24-4 VS 20-10 Munhoz
5'8" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 135 lb
68" reach 65"
41 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 5.4
33% striking accuracy 41%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 6.3
70% striking defence 55%
2.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
42% takedown accuracy 16%
83% takedown defence 82%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dominick Cruz VALUE “I think Pedro Munhoz house has been around plenty um and but that's not a confident pick... I think Pedro Munhoz can be caught looking in a mirror and just use a close EVENT_DETAILS that way kind of you know give him the vet less name though.” $1.83
TM The MMA-Holes picks Dominick Cruz VALUE “i'm gonna go to Dominick Cruz”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Pedro Munhoz VALUE “i think decision win for Pedro Munhoz” $1.93
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Pedro Munhoz “if i was to play anything in that fight it probably would be pedro Pedro Munhoz”
WP We Want Picks picks Dominick Cruz VALUE “i like Dominick Cruz to win this fight but let's take a look at Pedro Munhoz because you like Pedro Munhoz to snatch up a submission he is on a you know he's got a little bit of a rocky road here but look who he lost to okay jose aldo fine frankie edgar fine aljamain sterling fine all champions or former champions”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dominick Cruz “and it takes Dominick Cruz all right we've got a matchup between the young punisher Pedro Munhoz taking on the former champion Dominick Cruz dominic cruz man the movement in my opinion is gonna be the result but Pedro Munhoz with those low kicks you know those low kicks are damaging but he's getting on a bit you know 35 years old Dominick Cruz 36 and it takes Dominick Cruz”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Pedro Munhoz “i think Pedro Munhoz does it Dominick Cruz's knee injuries his long layoffs i do believe it's going to catch up to him in this fight and i think he loses this one and still a hard fought fight i don't think he gets smoked by any means but i do like munoz wins by a decision” $1.87
KU Kunath picks Dominick Cruz “i like Dominick Cruz in this range”
WP We Want Picks picks Dominick Cruz VALUE “dominic is the pick here because while i think he lost the step i do think he still has enough steps to be a problem for a lot of people” $2.00
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Pedro Munhoz VALUE “I'm picking Pedro Munhoz”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Pedro Munhoz “i went with Pedro Munhoz with that one”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Dominick Cruz “Dominick Cruz versus Pedro Munhoz”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cruz24-4
L Vera KO/TKO · R4 Aug '22
W Munhoz Decision · R3 Dec '21
W Kenney Decision · R3 Mar '21
L Cejudo KO/TKO · R2 May '20
L Garbrandt Decision · R5 Dec '16
Munhoz20-10
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Phillips Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Vera Decision · R3 Aug '23
W Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Apr '23
L Cruz Decision · R3 Dec '21