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Tuivasa vs SakaiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Kelley vs CostaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Robertson vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
DP
Oliveira vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight
JP
AN
Peña vs NunesMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
GN
SP
Neal vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight
KK
CG
Kara-France vs GarbrandtMain Card · Flyweight
SO
RP
O'Malley vs PaivaMain Card · Bantamweight
JE
DI
Emmett vs IgePreliminary Card · Featherweight
DC
PM
Cruz vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
TT
AS
Tuivasa vs SakaiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
BS
JW
Silva vs WrightPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AM
EA
Muniz vs AndersEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
EB
MM
Blanchfield vs MaverickEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
RH
DM
Hall vs MinnerEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
TK
RC
Kelley vs CostaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
GR
PC
Robertson vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tuivasa v Sakai
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tuivasa 15-9
VS
16-5-1 Sakai
6'2"
height
—
265 lb
weight
—
75"
reach
—
33
age
35
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
4.6
46%
striking accuracy
49%
5.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
44%
striking defence
48%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.2
0%
takedown accuracy
40%
57%
takedown defence
56%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“i like tai tui vasa here i love the 8 300 price point they are heavyweights they will go at it but i just Tai Tuivasa i think he's the more versatile heavyweight”
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“i like tai tui vasa here i love the 8 300 price point they are heavyweights they will go at it but i just Tai Tuivasa i think he's the more versatile heavyweight”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tai Tuivasa
“and it takes Tai Tuivasa let's go all right we've got Augusto Sakai taking on Tai Tuivasa i want to see the shoei how many shoeies do you think you've done in your lifetime how many times have priests been to church what i want to see is Tai Tuivasa completely obliterate all gusto sakai round one and then i want to see the shoei i think that's what everyone wants to see i mean even if you're picking Augusto Sakai i feel like you still want to see the shoei you know what i'm saying and it takes Tai Tuivasa”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tai Tuivasa
“and it takes Tai Tuivasa let's go all right we've got Augusto Sakai taking on Tai Tuivasa i want to see the shoei how many shoeies do you think you've done in your lifetime how many times have priests been to church what i want to see is Tai Tuivasa completely obliterate all gusto sakai round one and then i want to see the shoei i think that's what everyone wants to see i mean even if you're picking Augusto Sakai i feel like you still want to see the shoei you know what i'm saying and it takes Tai Tuivasa”
WP
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa
“so Tai Tuivasa is the pick”
We Want Picks picks Tai Tuivasa
“so Tai Tuivasa is the pick”
WP
We Want Picks picks Augusto Sakai VALUE
“if you're on the Augusto Sakai side that's great too because the oddsmakers have said this is even but draftking said it isn't so you can get him at underdog draftkings price”
We Want Picks picks Augusto Sakai VALUE
“if you're on the Augusto Sakai side that's great too because the oddsmakers have said this is even but draftking said it isn't so you can get him at underdog draftkings price”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“Tai Tuivasa will tap him out”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“Tai Tuivasa will tap him out”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Tai Tuivasa
“Tai Tuivasa vs Augusto Sakai”
MMA JOEY picks Tai Tuivasa
“Tai Tuivasa vs Augusto Sakai”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Augusto Sakai
“Tai Tuivasa vs Augusto Sakai”
MMA JOEY picks Augusto Sakai
“Tai Tuivasa vs Augusto Sakai”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tai Tuivasa
“I think he might put down augusto so that's what I'm gonna go with here”
$1.91
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Tai Tuivasa
“I think he might put down augusto so that's what I'm gonna go with here”
$1.91
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tuivasa15-9
L
Sutherland
May '26
L
Teixeira
Feb '26
L
Rozenstruik
Aug '24
L
Tybura
Mar '24
L
Volkov
Sep '23
Sakai16-5-1
W
Mayes
Feb '23
L
Spivac
Aug '22
L
Tuivasa
Dec '21
L
Rozenstruik
Jun '21
L
Overeem
Sep '20