MMA Prophecy
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UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
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CO DP Oliveira vs PoirierMain Card · Lightweight JP AN Peña vs NunesMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight GN SP Neal vs PonzinibbioMain Card · Welterweight KK CG Kara-France vs GarbrandtMain Card · Flyweight SO RP O'Malley vs PaivaMain Card · Bantamweight JE DI Emmett vs IgePreliminary Card · Featherweight DC PM Cruz vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight TT AS Tuivasa vs SakaiPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BS JW Silva vs WrightPreliminary Card · Middleweight AM EA Muniz vs AndersEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight EB MM Blanchfield vs MaverickEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RH DM Hall vs MinnerEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight TK RC Kelley vs CostaEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight GR PC Robertson vs CachoeiraEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Silva v Wright Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Silva 10
0 Wright
MMUSDK pick Silva
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Silva 14-5-2 VS 12-5 Wright
5'4" height —
125 lb weight —
65" reach —
36 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.3 strikes landed / min 4.1
48% striking accuracy 56%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 6.0
58% striking defence 31%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
28% takedown accuracy 45%
60% takedown defence 100%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Bruno Silva VALUE “I think he stops Jordan Wright right here.” $2.10
TM The MMA-Holes picks Bruno Silva VALUE “Bruno Silva knockout not oh damn man”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Bruno Silva “i think Bruno Silva knocks out JorDan Ige Wright” $1.31
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bruno Silva VALUE “i think Bruno Silva comes out here and starts Jordan Wright”
WP We Want Picks picks Bruno Silva VALUE “i like Bruno Silva in this fight i just think he's brutal he's never say die we've now seen him in later rounds and i think Jordan Wright while very good and very live in this fight i just think the insane power and the insane volume from Bruno Silva is going to be a problem”
SH Sherdog.com picks Bruno Silva VALUE “Bruno Silva Jordan Wright big big favorite there Bruno Silva”
KU Kunath picks Bruno Silva “i'm going to go to fighters like Bruno Silva alex perez”
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Jordan Wright VALUE “I'm going with Jordan Wright”
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Bruno Silva VALUE “I think Bruno Silva gets it done”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Jordan Wright “Bruno Silva versus Jordan Wright”
MJ MMA JOEY picks Bruno Silva “i will probably go Bruno Silva”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Bruno Silva “I have to side with Bruno Silva” $1.29
Recent form last five, most recent first
Silva14-5-2
L Barriault KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Naurdiev Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Weidman Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Allen Submission · R1 Jun '23
Wright12-5
L Pauga Decision · R3 Feb '23
L Todorović KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22
L Barriault Submission · R1 Apr '22
L Silva KO/TKO · R1 Dec '21
W Pickett KO/TKO · R1 May '21