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Volkanovski vs OrtegaMain Card · Featherweight
VS
LM
Shevchenko vs MurphyMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Lawler vs DiazMain Card · Middleweight
CB
JR
Blaydes vs RozenstruikMain Card · Heavyweight
JA
CC
Andrade vs CalvilloMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
MD
MM
Dvalishvili vs MoraesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
DH
NH
Hooker vs HaqparastPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CD
SA
Daukaus vs AbdurakhimovPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
TS
RM
Santos vs ModafferiPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Turner vs MedićEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Maximov vs BrundageEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Volkanovski v Ortega
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Volkanovski 27-4
VS
16-5 Ortega
5'6"
height
5'8"
145 lb
weight
153 lb
72"
reach
69"
37
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Switch
6.0
strikes landed / min
5.7
51%
striking accuracy
40%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.3
57%
striking defence
49%
3.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
48%
takedown accuracy
44%
70%
takedown defence
58%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“the best underdogs on tomorrow's card are as follows um Alexander Volkanovski on the main card”
THE MMA GURU picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“the best underdogs on tomorrow's card are as follows um Alexander Volkanovski on the main card”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“i think Alexander Volkanovskianovsky works towards a very hard-fought unanimous decision win 49-46 it's the Alexander Volkanovskianovsky show here i see him beating Brian Ortega”
$1.62
MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“i think Alexander Volkanovskianovsky works towards a very hard-fought unanimous decision win 49-46 it's the Alexander Volkanovskianovsky show here i see him beating Brian Ortega”
$1.62
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Alexander Volkanovski wins this by decision”
Cyclone MMA picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“Alexander Volkanovski wins this by decision”
WP
We Want Picks picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“i'm going with both underdogs here so pretty confident that... i have nicky as Brian Ortega in my rapid fire”
We Want Picks picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“i'm going with both underdogs here so pretty confident that... i have nicky as Brian Ortega in my rapid fire”
CO
Covers picks Brian Ortega
“i think the champ takes it”
Covers picks Brian Ortega
“i think the champ takes it”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“i think volkanovsky really is going to put on a master class”
MMA JOEY picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“i think volkanovsky really is going to put on a master class”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“hopefully he gives a little bit of momentum towards Alexander Volkanovski who i've also picked in the main event because i feel like that would actually cheer up Alexander Volkanovski a little bit seeing his teammate win earlier on in the night”
THE MMA GURU picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“hopefully he gives a little bit of momentum towards Alexander Volkanovski who i've also picked in the main event because i feel like that would actually cheer up Alexander Volkanovski a little bit seeing his teammate win earlier on in the night”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“i do think he wins this fight”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alexander Volkanovski VALUE
“i do think he wins this fight”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“Brian Ortega is very very dangerous anywhere the fight goes”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“Brian Ortega is very very dangerous anywhere the fight goes”
DR
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“I'm going with Brian Ortega”
Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Brian Ortega VALUE
“I'm going with Brian Ortega”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Volkanovski27-4
W
Lopes
Feb '26
W
Lopes
Apr '25
L
Topuria
Feb '24
L
Makhachev
Oct '23
W
Rodríguez
Jul '23
Ortega16-5
L
Sterling
Aug '25
L
Lopes
Sep '24
W
Rodríguez
Feb '24
L
Rodríguez
Jul '22
L
Volkanovski
Sep '21