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UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pearce v Morales Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Pearce 3
4 Morales
DUW pick Pearce
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pearce 14-7 VS 11-4 Morales
6'0" height 5'11"
145 lb weight 155 lb
71" reach 73"
34 age 40
Switch stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 3.4
54% striking accuracy 40%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
54% striking defence 58%
5.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
50% takedown accuracy 100%
55% takedown defence 63%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Omar Morales VALUE
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Omar Morales VALUE “i think Omar Morales at least early is going to have opportunity to finish”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “i think Jonathan Pearce puts up a phenomenal pace”
UW Uncle Weezy picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “i am picking the underdog in this fight by third round knockout by third round drowning i'm picking Jonathan Pearce at plus 130 to beat Omar Morales” $2.30
WP We Want Picks picks Jonathan Pearce VALUE “Lock of the week Jonathan Pearce” $2.38
WP We Want Picks picks Omar Morales “i got to go with Omar Morales”
WP We Want Picks picks Omar Morales VALUE “I gotta go with Omar Morales” $1.63
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Omar Morales “my pick is gonna be Omar Morales” $1.67
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Omar Morales VALUE “i like Omar Morales to win this fight” $1.67
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Omar Morales VALUE “i really like Omar Morales to beat jonathan Jonathan Pearce and i think he does it by second round knockout” $1.67
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pearce14-7
L Sabatini Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Onama Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Brito Submission · R2 Nov '23
W Elkins Decision · R3 Dec '22
W Amirkhani KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
Morales11-4
L Duncan Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Medić KO/TKO · R2 May '22
L Pearce Submission · R2 Sep '21
W Young Decision · R3 Mar '21
L Chikadze Decision · R3 Oct '20