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Dvalishvili vs MoraesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Daukaus vs AbdurakhimovPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Lawler v Diaz
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lawler 30-16
VS
26-10 Diaz
5'11"
height
6'1"
170 lb
weight
185 lb
74"
reach
76"
44
age
42
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
3.9
strikes landed / min
5.7
47%
striking accuracy
42%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
59%
striking defence
59%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
64%
takedown accuracy
32%
65%
takedown defence
60%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Robbie Lawler VALUE
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Robbie Lawler VALUE
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Nick Diaz VALUE
“Nick Diaz wins this fight by decision”
Cyclone MMA picks Nick Diaz VALUE
“Nick Diaz wins this fight by decision”
CM
Cyclone MMA picks Robbie Lawler VALUE
“Robbie Lawler picks him apart by decision”
Cyclone MMA picks Robbie Lawler VALUE
“Robbie Lawler picks him apart by decision”
CO
Covers picks Robbie Lawler
“i'm backing Robbie Lawler on the money line”
Covers picks Robbie Lawler
“i'm backing Robbie Lawler on the money line”
MK
Morning Kombat picks Nick Diaz VALUE
“the title fight at 145 is Big Valentina Shevchenko taking on a very deserving which we'll talk about Lauren Murphy is super important but dude if you look at the numbers online on what the UFC has for example posted on their YouTube channel it's Nick Diaz or get the [__] out the fans are clear what they care about”
Morning Kombat picks Nick Diaz VALUE
“the title fight at 145 is Big Valentina Shevchenko taking on a very deserving which we'll talk about Lauren Murphy is super important but dude if you look at the numbers online on what the UFC has for example posted on their YouTube channel it's Nick Diaz or get the [__] out the fans are clear what they care about”
WI
WEIGHING IN picks Robbie Lawler
“Robbie Lawler this fight has just been Robbie Lawler face planting off of a shot from could go either way Robbie Lawler's got hammers Robbie Lawler's been fighting the best looking at Robbie Lawler Robbie Lawler has been he hasn't looked the fight i feel like with Robbie Lawler Robbie Lawler was letting what Nick Diaz was doing i don't think Robbie Lawler's going to be that guy this fight Robbie Lawler's like i've Robbie Lawler's 39 years of age Nick Diaz is 38 yes you're exactly right Robbie Lawler has been Robbie Lawler and i got signed at the same the the shogun event in hawaii Robbie Lawler got signed Robbie Lawler fought a little bit before Robbie Lawler entered the ufc on yes yeah i right it was Robbie Lawler don't know riley”
WEIGHING IN picks Robbie Lawler
“Robbie Lawler this fight has just been Robbie Lawler face planting off of a shot from could go either way Robbie Lawler's got hammers Robbie Lawler's been fighting the best looking at Robbie Lawler Robbie Lawler has been he hasn't looked the fight i feel like with Robbie Lawler Robbie Lawler was letting what Nick Diaz was doing i don't think Robbie Lawler's going to be that guy this fight Robbie Lawler's like i've Robbie Lawler's 39 years of age Nick Diaz is 38 yes you're exactly right Robbie Lawler has been Robbie Lawler and i got signed at the same the the shogun event in hawaii Robbie Lawler got signed Robbie Lawler fought a little bit before Robbie Lawler entered the ufc on yes yeah i right it was Robbie Lawler don't know riley”
UW
Uncle Weezy picks Robbie Lawler
“dad's files saying i put some for a foul in uh Robbie Lawler diaz and main event i predict i pokes”
Uncle Weezy picks Robbie Lawler
“dad's files saying i put some for a foul in uh Robbie Lawler diaz and main event i predict i pokes”
WP
We Want Picks picks Robbie Lawler VALUE
“my pick's actually gonna be Robbie Lawler”
We Want Picks picks Robbie Lawler VALUE
“my pick's actually gonna be Robbie Lawler”
WP
We Want Picks picks Nick Diaz
“i'm picking Nick Diaz”
We Want Picks picks Nick Diaz
“i'm picking Nick Diaz”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Nick Diaz
“i ultimately took Nick Diaz”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Nick Diaz
“i ultimately took Nick Diaz”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Robbie Lawler
“i'll go Robbie Lawler”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Robbie Lawler
“i'll go Robbie Lawler”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lawler30-16
W
Price
Jul '23
L
Barberena
Jul '22
W
Diaz
Sep '21
L
Magny
Aug '20
L
Covington
Aug '19
Diaz26-10
L
Lawler
Sep '21
L
St-Pierre
Mar '13
L
Condit
Feb '12
W
Penn
Oct '11
W
Tibau
Nov '06