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Dvalishvili vs MoraesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Daukaus vs AbdurakhimovPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Dvalishvili v Moraes
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Dvalishvili 21-4
VS
23-10-1 Moraes
5'6"
height
—
135 lb
weight
—
68"
reach
—
35
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.3
strikes landed / min
3.4
39%
striking accuracy
40%
3.1
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
60%
striking defence
54%
8.2
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
47%
takedown accuracy
41%
76%
takedown defence
46%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Marlon Moraes VALUE
“marlo Marlon Moraes on the prelims”
THE MMA GURU picks Marlon Moraes VALUE
“marlo Marlon Moraes on the prelims”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i think it'll be extremely hard to beat a hungary and emerging as a top contender morab diva shavili especially these guys both the same size but physical advantage clearly the stronger grappler Merab Dvalishvili in the clinch he's going to be a [ __ ] to deal with it's marab for the win in decision decision”
$1.43
MMA EXPERTS picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i think it'll be extremely hard to beat a hungary and emerging as a top contender morab diva shavili especially these guys both the same size but physical advantage clearly the stronger grappler Merab Dvalishvili in the clinch he's going to be a [ __ ] to deal with it's marab for the win in decision decision”
$1.43
WP
We Want Picks picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“he is my pick to win i'm very confident him”
We Want Picks picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“he is my pick to win i'm very confident him”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i'm Merab Dvalishvili i like him a lot”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i'm Merab Dvalishvili i like him a lot”
WP
We Want Picks picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i think it's Merab Dvalishvili all the way in this fight”
$1.43
We Want Picks picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i think it's Merab Dvalishvili all the way in this fight”
$1.43
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i see Merab Dvalishvilidiva shavili wrestling him putting him against the cage working towards takedowns gassing him out potentially unanimous decision Merab Dvalishvili”
$1.43
MMA EXPERTS picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE
“i see Merab Dvalishvilidiva shavili wrestling him putting him against the cage working towards takedowns gassing him out potentially unanimous decision Merab Dvalishvili”
$1.43
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Dvalishvili21-4
L
Yan
Dec '25
W
Sandhagen
Oct '25
W
O'Malley
Jun '25
W
Nurmagomedov
Jan '25
W
O'Malley
Sep '24
Moraes23-10-1
L
Yadong
Mar '22
L
Dvalishvili
Sep '21
L
Font
Dec '20
L
Sandhagen
Oct '20
W
Aldo
Dec '19