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UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Semelsberger v Sano Jr. Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Semelsberger 4
0 Sano Jr.
MDWW pick Semelsberger
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Semelsberger 11-8 VS 4-3-1 Sano Jr.
6'1" height —
171 lb weight —
75" reach —
33 age 35
Switch stance Orthodox
3.8 strikes landed / min 4.0
42% striking accuracy 33%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 12.0
54% striking defence 40%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
57% takedown accuracy 0%
45% takedown defence 0%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE “i think Matthew Semelsberger is a lock pick of the night selmasberger minus 400 sanao plus 450” $1.25
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE “i think semelsberger gets it done uh pMerab Dvalishviliably inside the distance as well”
WP We Want Picks picks Matthew Semelsberger “Matthew Semelsberger savin and save your record”
WM Walk The Line MMA picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE “i got Matthew Semelsberger here to bounce back in the in the win column” $1.22
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE “i'm still picking selmas burger he should win and i believe he will unanimous decision or even late tko here” $1.29
Recent form last five, most recent first
Semelsberger11-8
L Radtke KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Parsons Decision · R3 Jan '24
L Medić KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
L Wells Decision · R3 Apr '23
W Matthews Decision · R3 Dec '22
Sano Jr.4-3-1
L Semelsberger KO/TKO · R1 Sep '21