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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Spivac v Oleinik Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus4 picks · conf 10/99
Spivac 2
2 Oleinik
HM pick Spivac
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Spivac 17-6 VS 60-17-1 Oleinik
6'3" height
251 lb weight
78" reach
31 age 49
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 3.3
49% striking accuracy 48%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.8
50% striking defence 44%
4.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
65% takedown accuracy 46%
70% takedown defence 37%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “i'm gonna ride spivak to win this fight”
HB Half The Battle picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “in fact i think that he might even look up to olenek because if you go through Serghei Spivac's uh instagram page olenek's like liking all his pictures”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “i do think Serghei Spivac wins the fight”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Aleksei Oleinik “i will have some Aleksei Oleinikk as kind of like a pump play as well”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Aleksei Oleinik VALUE “i'm actually gonna side with the inactive fighter” $3.00
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “i do think spivak wins a decision he should win a decision” $1.69
Recent form last five, most recent first
Spivac17-6
W Delija Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Almeida KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Tybura Submission · R1 Aug '24
L Gane KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
Oleinik60-17-1
L Latifi Decision · R3 Oct '22
W Vanderaa Submission · R1 Apr '22
L Spivac Decision · R3 Jun '21
L Daukaus KO/TKO · R1 Feb '21
L Lewis KO/TKO · R2 Aug '20