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Choi vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
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Silva vs TurmanMain Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Vera v Grant
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Vera 23-11-1
VS
17-8 Grant
5'8"
height
5'8"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
70"
reach
69"
33
age
40
Switch
stance
Orthodox
4.9
strikes landed / min
3.9
46%
striking accuracy
37%
3.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.7
52%
striking defence
74%
3.0
takedowns / 15 min
2.8
69%
takedown accuracy
52%
66%
takedown defence
81%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
HB
Half The Battle picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“i'm going to go with Marlon Vera”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“i'm gonna go with uh Marlon Vera versus marab i kind of want to say Marlon Vera i feel like he might switch kick him in the [ __ ] head and finish him i think it's a really good matchup for Marlon Vera he's not going to get ko'd in the first round that's something he doesn't have to worry about and he's got really good grappling early so i think he can maybe shock mara by staffing a couple of takedowns and then hurt him i don't even know we'll see how it goes”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“i like Marlon Vera yes”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Davey Grant
“i know there's going to be a lot of love for Davey Grant”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Marlon Vera VALUE
“i think marlon chidovera for the win here should be a pretty confident play i think marlon chidovera skill set wise is a top contender”
$1.43
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Marlon Vera
“i'm gonna go with Marlon Vera i think he's improved massively... i'm gonna go with Marlon Vera getting it done against Davey Grant”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Vera23-11-1
L
Martínez
Feb '26
L
Zahabi
Oct '25
L
Figueiredo
Aug '24
L
O'Malley
Mar '24
W
Munhoz
Aug '23
Grant17-8
W
Martinetti
Apr '26
L
Jourdain
Oct '25
W
Blackshear
Jul '25
W
Taveras
Dec '24
L
Marcos
Jul '23