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Williams vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Parisian vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Williams v Semelsberger
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus3 picks · conf 10/99
U
pick Williams
pick Williams
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Williams 15-5
VS
11-8 Semelsberger
6'0"
height
6'1"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
77"
reach
75"
32
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.8
strikes landed / min
3.8
39%
striking accuracy
42%
5.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
42%
striking defence
54%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
0%
takedown accuracy
57%
80%
takedown defence
45%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Khaos Williams VALUE
“i think the one man that's going to win this fight is going to be chaos of Khaos Williams”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Khaos Williams VALUE
“i think the one man that's going to win this fight is going to be chaos of Khaos Williams”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matthew Semelsberger
“semesburg is not a terrible play at that price tag at 7 300”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Matthew Semelsberger
“semesburg is not a terrible play at that price tag at 7 300”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“i have a strange inkling that Matthew Semelsberger by a 2928 decision that is the prediction for this one”
$2.50
MMA EXPERTS picks Matthew Semelsberger VALUE
“i have a strange inkling that Matthew Semelsberger by a 2928 decision that is the prediction for this one”
$2.50
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Williams15-5
W
Veretennikov
May '26
L
Gustafsson
Jun '25
L
Bonfim
Feb '25
W
Harris
May '24
W
Bedoya
May '23
Semelsberger11-8
L
Radtke
Nov '24
L
Parsons
Jan '24
L
Medić
Jul '23
L
Wells
Apr '23
W
Matthews
Dec '22