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Spivac vs OleinikMain Card · Heavyweight
MV
DG
Vera vs GrantMain Card · Bantamweight
SC
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Choi vs ErosaMain Card · Featherweight
BS
WT
Silva vs TurmanMain Card · Middleweight
MB
DL
Brown vs LimaMain Card · Welterweight
NN
AC
Negumereanu vs CamurPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
VJ
KM
Jandiroba vs MurataPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
KW
MS
Williams vs SemelsbergerPreliminary Card · Welterweight
JP
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Parisian vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
RG
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Glenn vs SilvaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Parisian v Martinez
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Parisian 15-8
VS
15-8-2 Martinez
6'4"
height
—
266 lb
weight
—
79"
reach
—
37
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.5
strikes landed / min
3.3
48%
striking accuracy
53%
4.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
41%
striking defence
56%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
33%
takedown accuracy
50%
46%
takedown defence
53%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
HB
Half The Battle picks Josh Parisian VALUE
“i'm gonna go parisian and get this one done”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Josh Parisian VALUE
“i'll play some Josh Parisian”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Josh Parisian
“i'll pick josh parisi on a competitive decision but an absolute who the hell really knows type of fight”
$1.80
GP
Greedo Plays picks Roque Martinez
“i think priesthood is gonna be able to ride this one out to a unanimous decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Parisian15-8
L
Despaigne
Mar '24
L
Buday
Aug '23
L
Pogues
Feb '23
W
Baudot
Jun '22
L
Mayes
Dec '21
Martinez15-8-2
L
Parisian
Jun '21
L
Mayes
Nov '20
L
Romanov
Sep '20