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UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
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NI CB Imavov vs BorralhoMain Card · Middleweight AG RF Gustafsson vs FakhretdinovPreliminary Card · Welterweight MT AD Tybura vs DelijaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BO MJ Oki vs JonesMain Card · Lightweight SB SH Bannon vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight BD MR Denis vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight MB PC Bukauskas vs CraigMain Card · Light Heavyweight OS BR Sy vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight WG RR Gomis vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight SP TW Patterson vs WatersPreliminary Card · Welterweight BT RB Tavares vs BryczekPreliminary Card · Middleweight RM AS McKee vs SolaMain Card · Welterweight HH KF Hardwick vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Gustafsson over Fakhretdinov · Welterweight Our fair value$1.74 1xBet pays above fair $1.83
Where to back Gustafsson best price · region · EV vs fair $1.74
US DraftKings $1.80 +4%
UK Betway $1.73 -0%
EU 1xBet $1.83 +5%
AU PlayUp $1.80 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.87
Consensus139 picks · conf 99/99
Gustafsson 90
49 Fakhretdinov
TIHMCL pick Gustafsson
How it endsmethod calls · Gustafsson · crowd line
KO/TKO 20 $4.25
Decision 29 $2.93
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gustafsson 12-3 VS 24-1-1 Fakhretdinov
6'1" height 6'0"
171 lb weight 170 lb
74" reach 74"
35 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 4.8
53% striking accuracy 54%
2.1 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
72% striking defence 66%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
58% takedown accuracy 30%
60% takedown defence 71%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 1.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market58% vs 55%
Consensus90 of 139 analysts
Sharpest angleGustafsson by Decision — 29 of 49 method calls
Recommendation Back Gustafsson @ $1.83 · fair $1.74 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Andreas Gustafsson VALUE
HP Hayjive Picks picks Andreas Gustafsson VALUE “Number two, Andreas Gustafsson, higher than 55 a half. He lands nearly six per minute. And Rinat Fakhretdinov's opponents are averaging 82 in his last three fights.”
WP We Want Picks picks Andreas Gustafsson VALUE “I'm going to pick Andreas here.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Andreas Gustafsson VALUE “I do like Andreas Gustafsson to get the job done here at minus 120.” $1.83
FC Fighters’ Chronicles picks Rinat Fakhretdinov “Prediction: Rinat Fakhretdinov. His wrestling and control offer more reliable paths to victory.”
TP Tony's Picks picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE “is uh Rinat Fakhretdinov fight to win all day. Uh you know the straight down the pipe or the guillotine front choke.” $1.95
MP MMA Gems Podcast picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE “give me Rinat Fakhretdinov's money line.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Andreas Gustafsson “I'm going with Andreas Gustafsson, brother. I'm going with Gustafson.”
KI Kimura picks Andreas Gustafsson “EVENT_DETAILS for Andreas Gustafsson. Andreas Gustafsson, >> EVENT_DETAILS for Andreas Gustafsson. Andreas Gustafsson, >> EVENT_DETAILS for Andreas Gustafsson. Andreas Gustafsson, one more second on the scale. Thank you. [Music] [Music]”
SS Spinnin Backfist MMA Show picks Andreas Gustafsson VALUE “I think Gustin wins, but it's a super close fight. Like I to me the the reason I I lean him is because I I think he's probably a little better on the feet or at least like close.” $1.87
IZ Izzysdegenmind picks Andreas Gustafsson “Give me Andreas Gustoson to win by TKO or decision” $1.83
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Andreas Gustafsson VALUE “Andreas Gustafsson is going to hand him that L.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gustafsson12-3
L Fakhretdinov KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Williams Decision · R3 Jun '25
Fakhretdinov24-1-1
W Gustafsson KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Leal Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Dalby Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Lee Submission · R1 Jul '23
W Battle Decision · R3 Dec '22