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Denis vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
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Imavov vs BorralhoMain Card · Middleweight
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Gustafsson vs FakhretdinovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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AD
Tybura vs DelijaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Oki vs JonesMain Card · Lightweight
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Bannon vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Denis vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight
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Bukauskas vs CraigMain Card · Light Heavyweight
OS
BR
Sy vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Gomis vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight
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Patterson vs WatersPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BT
RB
Tavares vs BryczekPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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McKee vs SolaMain Card · Welterweight
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Hardwick vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Ruffy
over Saint Denis · Lightweight
Our fair value$1.63
Where to back Ruffy
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.63
US
DraftKings
$1.68
+3%
UK
Betway
$1.61
-1%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.63
-0%
AU
BOO
BoomBet
$1.63
-0%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.65
How it endsmethod calls · Ruffy · crowd line
KO/TKO
104
$1.79
Submission
1
$186.20
Decision
9
$20.69
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Saint Denis 16-3
VS
13-2 Ruffy
5'11"
height
5'11"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
73"
reach
75"
30
age
30
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
2.5
40%
striking accuracy
49%
5.0
strikes absorbed / min
2.4
73%
striking defence
49%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
57%
takedown accuracy
30%
54%
takedown defence
69%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
0.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 60%
Consensus105 of 169 analysts
Sharpest angleRuffy by KO/TKO — 104 of 114 method calls
Recommendation
Back Ruffy @ $1.68 · fair $1.63
+3% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
LI
liltoaster picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I'm going Benoît Saint Denis.”
FI
FightNight picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“Maurício Ruffy the Firing Nerds by Knockouts.”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I think Maurício Ruffy's got that”
WP
We Want Picks picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'm going to pick Immov to win this fight.”
OM
OpenMat MMA picks Maurício Ruffy
“I'm going with Maurício Ruffy.”
BM
Belal Muhammad picks Benoît Saint Denis
“I'm going with Benois. I think stylistically his pressure style is going to be enough to break Roofy. Not even break him, just win the fight.”
FC
Fighters’ Chronicles picks Benoît Saint Denis
“Prediction: Benoît Saint Denis. His relentless pace, experience against elite names, and ability to drown opponents in grappling exchanges make him the safer pick.”
VM
Verbal Sparring MMA picks Benoît Saint Denis
“out the ultra dangerous Frenchman Benoît Saint Denis.”
VM
Verbal Sparring MMA picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“this is his chance to catapult into the top 15 of the EVENT_DETAILS division in what would just be his fourth EVENT_DETAILS fight.”
BG
Bettor in Green picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“I have to go with Maurício Ruffy here.”
BY
Bang MMA Yaar picks Maurício Ruffy VALUE
“postoji 60% šanse da će Maurício Ruffy pobijediti”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Saint Denis16-3
W
Hooker
Feb '26
W
Dariush
Nov '25
W
Ruffy
Sep '25
W
Prepolec
May '25
L
Moicano
Sep '24
Ruffy13-2
W
Chandler
Jun '26
W
Fiziev
Feb '26
L
Denis
Sep '25
W
Green
Mar '25
W
Llontop
Nov '24