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UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
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NI CB Imavov vs BorralhoMain Card · Middleweight AG RF Gustafsson vs FakhretdinovPreliminary Card · Welterweight MT AD Tybura vs DelijaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight BO MJ Oki vs JonesMain Card · Lightweight SB SH Bannon vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight BD MR Denis vs RuffyMain Card · Lightweight MB PC Bukauskas vs CraigMain Card · Light Heavyweight OS BR Sy vs RibeiroPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight WG RR Gomis vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight SP TW Patterson vs WatersPreliminary Card · Welterweight BT RB Tavares vs BryczekPreliminary Card · Middleweight RM AS McKee vs SolaMain Card · Welterweight HH KF Hardwick vs FernandesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Bukauskas over Craig · Light Heavyweight Our fair value$1.30 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.33
Where to back Bukauskas best price · region · EV vs fair $1.30
US DraftKings $1.32 +1%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.33 +2%
EU Pinnacle $1.33 +2%
AU PointsBet (AU) $1.30 -0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.34
Consensus131 picks · conf 99/99
Bukauskas 106
25 Craig
ILHALS pick Bukauskas
How it endsmethod calls · Bukauskas · crowd line
KO/TKO 65 $1.67
Decision 17 $6.37
None 1 $108.29
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bukauskas 19-7 VS 17-10-1 Craig
6'3" height 6'3"
204 lb weight 205 lb
78" reach 76"
32 age 38
Switch stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 3.2
47% striking accuracy 48%
2.8 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
64% striking defence 52%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
30% takedown accuracy 60%
58% takedown defence 80%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market77% vs 75%
Consensus106 of 131 analysts
Sharpest angleBukauskas by KO/TKO — 65 of 83 method calls
Recommendation Back Bukauskas @ $1.33 · fair $1.30 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Paul Craig VALUE $1.31
MC MMA CTRL picks Paul Craig VALUE “Beats Paul Craig, them together”
WP We Want Picks picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “Bukowskis is definitely the pick.”
FC Fighters’ Chronicles picks Modestas Bukauskas “Prediction: Modestas Bukauskas. Craig is always dangerous, but Modestas Bukauskas range, youth, and more diverse striking give him a bigger window to win.”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas “we also have a fun fight in the light EVENT_DETAILS division between Modestas Bukauskas and Paul Craig making his return to 205 lbs.”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Paul Craig “and Paul Craig making his return to 205 lbs.”
SX Sainttrai X picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “Modestas Bukauskas uh for an easy win over Paul Craig.” $1.28
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Modestas Bukauskas VALUE “I'll probably go with Modesta.”
TP Tony's Picks picks Paul Craig VALUE “it's plus 280 Paul Craig as a side. The more and more I think about this one.” $3.80
IM Il casual delle MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas “Eh, mendoj se ai do ta marrë në shtëpi kundrejt Paul Craig.”
DC Dougies Corner picks Modestas Bukauskas “Modest is going to destroy him. NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 going to destroy the shinless Benois Saint Deni.”
MM Mask MMA picks Modestas Bukauskas “I think Modestas Bukauskas is going to win... Modestas Bukauskas by knockout.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bukauskas19-7
W Edwards Decision · R3 May '26
L Krylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
W Craig KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Cuțelaba Decision · R3 May '25
W Cerqueira KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
Craig17-10-1
L Bukauskas KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
L Nickal Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Borralho KO/TKO · R2 May '24
L Allen Submission · R3 Nov '23
W Muniz KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23