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UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
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SG DO Garcia vs OnamaMain Card · Featherweight WC AD Cortes-Acosta vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight JW TG Wells vs GorimboMain Card · Welterweight ID YV Dulgarian vs ValleMain Card · Featherweight CR DF Radtke vs FrunzaMain Card · Welterweight BE KC Elekana vs ChristianPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TC LC Cuamba vs Chang-hoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DJ SD Johnson vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight KV ND Vieira vs DumontPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AA MR Ardelean vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight PR KS Rowe vs Seok-hyunPreliminary Card · Welterweight TA AC Alencar vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AN CD Nascimento vs DurdenMain Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Gorimbo over Wells · Welterweight Our fair value$1.65 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $1.80
Where to back Gorimbo best price · region · EV vs fair $1.65
US BetOnline.ag $1.80 +9%
UK Paddy Power $1.73 +5%
EU Coolbet $1.78 +8%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.73 +5%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.74
Consensus28 picks · conf 52/99
Wells 8
20 Gorimbo
T1MOMB pick Wells
How it endsmethod calls · Gorimbo · crowd line
Decision 4 $1.65
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Wells 13-4-1 VS 14-6 Gorimbo
5'9" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 171 lb
74" reach 77"
39 age 35
Switch stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 3.1
47% striking accuracy 61%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 1.1
63% striking defence 56%
0.7 takedowns / 15 min 4.9
52% takedown accuracy 65%
52% takedown defence 82%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 56%
Consensus20 of 28 analysts
Sharpest angleGorimbo by Decision — 4 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Gorimbo @ $1.80 · fair $1.65 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MC McManusMMA picks Jeremiah Wells “picking Jeremiah Wells to win this”
MP MMA Gems Podcast picks Themba Gorimbo “Themba Gorimbo will win the fight? I think Themba Gorimbo will”
MA MMA Attic picks Themba Gorimbo “So I picked him up as a minus 130 favorite for 1.95 units.” $1.77
MM MMA Mechanic picks Themba Gorimbo “I'm pick them. I think Thema Themba Gorimbo is going to um impose his will on um and we've seen um Jeremiah Wells um gas two later in fights and I think that Themba Gorimbo's uh relentless wrestling style is going to be too much for him.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jeremiah Wells “Yeah, it's a really weird fight, but um I definitely like Jeremiah Wells.”
1M 138 MMA picks Jeremiah Wells VALUE “I'm going to take him here at plus 123. Give me Jeremiah Wells” $2.23
TO TonyHasDiedMMA picks Themba Gorimbo “I'm picking Themba Gorimbo to win this fight by decision.”
TM The MMA Mystic picks Themba Gorimbo “I think I'm I'm going to go with Themba Gorimbo in this one.”
TM Topside MMA picks Themba Gorimbo “for now I guess the pick's got to be Themba Gorimbo, but it could go either way.”
FP Fight Night Picks picks Themba Gorimbo “I think Themba Gorimbo is gonna win inside the distance.”
ON Open Space Network picks Jeremiah Wells
RM Rare MMA picks Themba Gorimbo “I think Themba Gorimbo is gonna win this one.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Wells13-4-1
W Gorimbo Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Griffin Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Harris Submission · R3 Aug '23
W Semelsberger Decision · R3 Apr '23
W McGee KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
Gorimbo14-6
L Micallef Decision · R3 May '26
L Wells Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Luque Submission · R1 Dec '24
W Price Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Brahimaj Decision · R3 May '24