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SG DO Garcia vs OnamaMain Card · Featherweight WC AD Cortes-Acosta vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight JW TG Wells vs GorimboMain Card · Welterweight ID YV Dulgarian vs ValleMain Card · Featherweight CR DF Radtke vs FrunzaMain Card · Welterweight BE KC Elekana vs ChristianPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TC LC Cuamba vs Chang-hoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DJ SD Johnson vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight KV ND Vieira vs DumontPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AA MR Ardelean vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight PR KS Rowe vs Seok-hyunPreliminary Card · Welterweight TA AC Alencar vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AN CD Nascimento vs DurdenMain Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Ardelean over Ruiz · Women'S Strawweight Our fair value$1.21 1xBet pays above fair $1.31
Where to back Ardelean best price · region · EV vs fair $1.21
US BetUS $1.27 +5%
UK Paddy Power $1.25 +3%
EU 1xBet $1.31 +8%
AU Neds $1.26 +4%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.28
Consensus27 picks · conf 51/99
Ardelean 26
1 Ruiz
YBTT1M pick Ardelean
How it endsmethod calls · Ardelean · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $1.62
Decision 1 $4.85
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Ardelean 12-7 VS 10-4 Ruiz
5'3" height —
116 lb weight —
62" reach —
34 age 33
Orthodox stance Southpaw
6.0 strikes landed / min 0.8
50% striking accuracy 27%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 5.0
48% striking defence 37%
2.9 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
33% takedown accuracy 83%
72% takedown defence 33%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.8
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market83% vs 76%
Consensus26 of 27 analysts
Sharpest angleArdelean by KO/TKO — 3 of 4 method calls
Recommendation Back Ardelean @ $1.31 · fair $1.21 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MA MMA Attic picks Alice Ardelean “All three models favor her to win. So I've risked six units to return 1.5.” $1.25
MM MMA Mechanic picks Alice Ardelean “Pick Alice Arling just because Montserrat Ruiz is terrible. Like she's [ __ ] terrible. So, I'm just going to pick her. Pick Alice Arling just because like I I I just want to pick the less terrible woman to be honest.”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alice Ardelean “I think Alice Ardelean's just better at striking, competent wrestling match. And I gotta say, I think Alice Ardelean probably lands more shots. ... I'm going to say Alice Ardelean could win.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Alice Ardelean “I think it's Alice Ardelean and she should roll here.”
1M 138 MMA picks Alice Ardelean “So, I'm taking Alice Ardelean, even though she's a big favorite.”
BE BetSam picks Alice Ardelean “I think Alice Ardelean goes it here and malls Montserrat Ruiz. I even expect her to finish her as well.”
TM Topside MMA picks Alice Ardelean “I'm picking Alice Ardelean, but I'm telling you right now, minus 400. I'm not playing that.” $1.25
AN All Sides Now picks Alice Ardelean
BE BeewolfMMA picks Alice Ardelean “I'm expecting this to be an easier fight against Montserrat Ruiz because I don't think Montserrat Ruiz is as good as NOT_IN_ROSTER_12. Alice Ardelean will have no problem maintaining control to win”
RM Rare MMA picks Alice Ardelean “Uh, sneaky KO well TKO win here for Alice Ardelean. So that's where I'm going. Round two. TKO win.”
SG Savant of the Fight Game picks Alice Ardelean “I'm going to go with Alice Ardelean because she's been more active.”
MM MMAPlay365 picks Alice Ardelean “For those reasons, I'm picking Alice Ardelean to win this fight.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Ardelean12-7
W Viana Submission · R2 May '26
W Ruiz Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Santos Decision · R3 May '25
L Martinez Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Bannon Decision · R3 Jul '24
Ruiz10-4
L Ardelean Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Moura KO/TKO · R2 Nov '23
L Amorim KO/TKO · R3 Aug '23
L Lemos KO/TKO · R1 Jul '21
W Vlismas Decision · R3 Mar '21