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UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
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SG DO Garcia vs OnamaMain Card · Featherweight WC AD Cortes-Acosta vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight JW TG Wells vs GorimboMain Card · Welterweight ID YV Dulgarian vs ValleMain Card · Featherweight CR DF Radtke vs FrunzaMain Card · Welterweight BE KC Elekana vs ChristianPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TC LC Cuamba vs Chang-hoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DJ SD Johnson vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight KV ND Vieira vs DumontPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AA MR Ardelean vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight PR KS Rowe vs Seok-hyunPreliminary Card · Welterweight TA AC Alencar vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AN CD Nascimento vs DurdenMain Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Durden over Nascimento · Catchweight Our fair value$2.16 Pinnacle pays above fair $3.08
Where to back Durden best price · region · EV vs fair $2.16
US BetOnline.ag $2.95 +36%
EU Pinnacle $3.08 +42%
AU Ladbrokes AU $2.65 +22%
Consensus3 picks · conf 10/99
Nascimento 0
3 Durden
pick Nascimento
How it endsmethod calls · Durden · crowd line
No method calls for this side yet.
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Nascimento 22-7 VS 17-10-1 Durden
5'8" height 5'7"
126 lb weight 125 lb
70" reach 67"
34 age 35
Orthodox stance Southpaw
5.1 strikes landed / min 3.4
37% striking accuracy 50%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
57% striking defence 50%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 4.4
42% takedown accuracy 50%
75% takedown defence 73%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market46% vs 32%
Consensus3 of 3 analysts
Recommendation Back Durden @ $3.08 · fair $2.16 +42% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SG Savant of the Fight Game picks Cody Durden “I'm going to go with the sturdy vet, Cody Durden.”
MM MMAPlay365 picks Cody Durden “stylistically, I think Cody Durden is the better striker here... has got the better wrestling as well. So, I think that Cody Durden could have some success”
BE BennyPMMA picks Cody Durden “Cody Cody Durden could just beat him on the sub Cody Durden at some point in this”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Nascimento22-7
L Raposo Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Durden Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Filho Decision · R3 May '25
W Hernández Submission · R1 Jan '23
W Hadley Decision · R3 May '22
Durden17-10-1
W Filho Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Tumendemberel Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Nascimento Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Ochoa KO/TKO · R2 Jun '25
L Van Decision · R3 Dec '24