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UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
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SG DO Garcia vs OnamaMain Card · Featherweight WC AD Cortes-Acosta vs DelijaMain Card · Heavyweight JW TG Wells vs GorimboMain Card · Welterweight ID YV Dulgarian vs ValleMain Card · Featherweight CR DF Radtke vs FrunzaMain Card · Welterweight BE KC Elekana vs ChristianPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TC LC Cuamba vs Chang-hoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DJ SD Johnson vs DumasPreliminary Card · Middleweight KV ND Vieira vs DumontPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AA MR Ardelean vs RuizPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight PR KS Rowe vs Seok-hyunPreliminary Card · Welterweight TA AC Alencar vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AN CD Nascimento vs DurdenMain Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE We back Johnson over Dumas · Middleweight Our fair value$1.27 Betsson pays above fair $1.34
Where to back Johnson best price · region · EV vs fair $1.27
US DraftKings $1.31 +3%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.29 +1%
EU Betsson $1.34 +5%
AU BoomBet $1.29 +1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.35
Consensus32 picks · conf 55/99
Johnson 28
4 Dumas
TYBTTT pick Johnson
How it endsmethod calls · Johnson · crowd line
KO/TKO 5 $1.27
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Johnson 7-0 VS 10-4 Dumas
5'8" height 6'2"
185 lb weight 185 lb
74" reach 79"
27 age 30
Southpaw stance Orthodox
strikes landed / min 2.1
striking accuracy 48%
strikes absorbed / min 2.0
striking defence 58%
takedowns / 15 min 1.3
takedown accuracy 35%
takedown defence 40%
submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market78% vs 75%
Consensus28 of 32 analysts
Sharpest angleJohnson by KO/TKO — 5 of 5 method calls
Recommendation Back Johnson @ $1.34 · fair $1.27 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Donte Johnson VALUE “I'm picking Donte Johnson fight”
MA MMA Attic picks Donte Johnson “so I picked him up for 5.25 units.” $1.29
WP Working Fans Podcast picks Donte Johnson “...”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Donte Johnson “I think he's able to outwork Sedriques Dumas. I just think Sedriques Dumas is going to end up getting dropped here... Johnson to win by knockout Johnson to buzz saw through an experienced vet and Sedriques Dumas” $1.29
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Donte Johnson “It's probably going to be a Donte Johnson KO1. Really rough match up for Sedriques Dumas here.” $1.29
TM The MMA Mystic picks Donte Johnson “I'm going to go with Donte Johnson to get this one done.”
1M 138 MMA picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE “Do I think Sedriques Dumas can head kick him and put him out? Yeah, I do.” $3.64
BE BetSam picks Donte Johnson “It's going to be Donte Johnson round one knockout”
TO TonyHasDiedMMA picks Donte Johnson “I'm picking Donte Johnson to knock out Sadique Dumas”
TM Topside MMA picks Donte Johnson VALUE “I do think Donte Johnson probably touches the chin of Sedriques Dumas. Probably gets him out of there.”
FP Fight Night Picks picks Donte Johnson “I'm going Donte Johnson.” $1.32
AN All Sides Now picks Donte Johnson “...”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Johnson7-0
W Brundage Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Dumas Submission · R2 Nov '25
Dumas10-4
L McVey Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Johnson Submission · R2 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Tiuliulin Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Ruziboev KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24