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BEST PRICE
We back
Johnson
over Dumas · Middleweight
Our fair value$1.27
Betsson
pays above fair
$1.34
Best prices · Johnson
Where to back Johnson
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.27
US
DraftKings
$1.31
+3%
UK
William Hill (UK)
$1.29
+1%
EU
BET
Betsson
$1.34
+5%
AU
BOO
BoomBet
$1.29
+1%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.35
How it endsmethod calls · Johnson · crowd line
KO/TKO
5
$1.27
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Johnson 7-0
VS
10-4 Dumas
5'8"
height
6'2"
185 lb
weight
185 lb
74"
reach
79"
27
age
30
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
—
strikes landed / min
2.1
—
striking accuracy
48%
—
strikes absorbed / min
2.0
—
striking defence
58%
—
takedowns / 15 min
1.3
—
takedown accuracy
35%
—
takedown defence
40%
—
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market78% vs 75%
Consensus28 of 32 analysts
Sharpest angleJohnson by KO/TKO — 5 of 5 method calls
Recommendation
Back Johnson @ $1.34 · fair $1.27
+5% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Donte Johnson VALUE
“I'm picking Donte Johnson fight”
WP
Working Fans Podcast picks Donte Johnson
“...”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Donte Johnson
“I think he's able to outwork Sedriques Dumas. I just think Sedriques Dumas is going to end up getting dropped here... Johnson to win by knockout Johnson to buzz saw through an experienced vet and Sedriques Dumas”
$1.29
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Donte Johnson
“It's probably going to be a Donte Johnson KO1. Really rough match up for Sedriques Dumas here.”
$1.29
TM
The MMA Mystic picks Donte Johnson
“I'm going to go with Donte Johnson to get this one done.”
1M
138 MMA picks Sedriques Dumas VALUE
“Do I think Sedriques Dumas can head kick him and put him out? Yeah, I do.”
$3.64
BE
BetSam picks Donte Johnson
“It's going to be Donte Johnson round one knockout”
TO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Donte Johnson
“I'm picking Donte Johnson to knock out Sadique Dumas”
TM
Topside MMA picks Donte Johnson VALUE
“I do think Donte Johnson probably touches the chin of Sedriques Dumas. Probably gets him out of there.”
AN
All Sides Now picks Donte Johnson
“...”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Johnson7-0
W
Brundage
Mar '26
W
Dumas
Nov '25
Dumas10-4
L
McVey
Apr '26
L
Johnson
Nov '25
L
Oleksiejczuk
Apr '25
W
Tiuliulin
Aug '24
L
Ruziboev
Mar '24