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UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
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JM IM Maddalena vs MakhachevMain Card · Welterweight VS ZW Shevchenko vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Flyweight SB MM Brady vs MoralesMain Card · Welterweight LE CP Edwards vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight BN RV Nickal vs VieiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight RK GR Kopylov vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight EB TC Blanchfield vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KD GM Daukaus vs MeerschaertEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight PS CM Sabatini vs MariscalEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight AH FK Hill vs KlineEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight BS EM Susurkaev vs McConicoEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight VB MC Borshchev vs CamiloEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight BD BD Dariush vs DenisMain Card · Catchweight MW EE Wellmaker vs EwingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Brady over Morales · Welterweight Our fair value$1.75 Betsson pays above fair $1.95
Where to back Brady best price · region · EV vs fair $1.75
US Bovada $1.74 -1%
UK Paddy Power $1.73 -1%
EU Betsson $1.95 +11%
AU Betr (AU) $1.72 -2%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.75
Consensus312 picks · conf 99/99
Brady 201
111 Morales
PTFFTG pick Brady
How it endsmethod calls · Brady · crowd line
Submission 9 $2.92
Decision 6 $4.37
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brady 18-2 VS 18-0 Morales
5'10" height 6'0"
169 lb weight 170 lb
72" reach 79"
33 age 27
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 5.4
55% striking accuracy 48%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.4
60% striking defence 52%
3.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
52% takedown accuracy 41%
85% takedown defence 92%
0.9 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 51%
Consensus201 of 312 analysts
Sharpest angleBrady by Submission — 9 of 15 method calls
Recommendation Back Brady @ $1.95 · fair $1.75 +11% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Sean Brady VALUE “I feel like Sean Brady is going to get this done via decision.”
GM GLO MMA picks Michael Morales VALUE “I feel like Sean Brady is going to get this done via decision.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Sean Brady “So, I'm gonna go Sean Brady.”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Michael Morales VALUE “I got to go Michael Morales for the Jchenko 8200”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Sean Brady VALUE “Sean Brady can win. Well, Sean Brady's equity is on the ground. Um, so I do see although Michael Morales 47.5 for Michael Morales for significant strikes knock Sean Brady out or Sean Brady's going to get to be one of the few people on Michael Morales since they both came in.”
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Sean Brady VALUE “I'm going with Brady. Sean Brady like he doesn't get enough credit... Sean Brady has fought like damn near the who's who of the welterweight championship on his way up... Sean Brady has the cleaner striking. Even if you don't have that power, definitely the better wrestling.”
LM Lightning MMA picks Michael Morales VALUE “Michael Morales uh by Ferrron knockout 18 and0 against 18-1... First round will be interesting, but third round will be too much. Shawn Sean Brady will slow a little bit down and get knocked out”
LM Lightning MMA picks Sean Brady VALUE “I believe Michael Morales is definitely the next uh contender for the title... Shawn Sean Brady will slow a little bit down and get knocked out”
FI Figure4_MMA picks Sean Brady VALUE “I'm going to pick Sean Brady by submission in the first round”
MA Mustafa Abutair picks Sean Brady VALUE “Easy pick for me. Sean Brady is going to maul Michael Morales.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Michael Morales VALUE “I'm picking Michael Morales” $2.14
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Sean Brady “I'm on the side with Sean Brady.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brady18-2
W Buckley Decision · R3 May '26
L Morales KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Edwards Submission · R4 Mar '25
W Burns Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Gastelum Submission · R3 Dec '23
Morales18-0
W Brady KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Burns KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Magny KO/TKO · R1 Aug '24
W Matthews Decision · R3 Nov '23
W Griffin Decision · R3 Jul '23