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UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
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JM IM Maddalena vs MakhachevMain Card · Welterweight VS ZW Shevchenko vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Flyweight SB MM Brady vs MoralesMain Card · Welterweight LE CP Edwards vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight BN RV Nickal vs VieiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight RK GR Kopylov vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight EB TC Blanchfield vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KD GM Daukaus vs MeerschaertEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight PS CM Sabatini vs MariscalEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight AH FK Hill vs KlineEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight BS EM Susurkaev vs McConicoEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight VB MC Borshchev vs CamiloEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight BD BD Dariush vs DenisMain Card · Catchweight MW EE Wellmaker vs EwingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Camilo over Borshchev · Lightweight Our fair value$1.55 Bovada pays above fair $1.67
Where to back Camilo best price · region · EV vs fair $1.55
US Bovada $1.67 +8%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.62 +5%
EU Pinnacle $1.63 +5%
AU TABtouch $1.61 +4%
Consensus113 picks · conf 92/99
Borshchev 29
84 Camilo
PLMC1T pick Borshchev
How it endsmethod calls · Camilo · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $17.00
Submission 7 $2.43
Decision 3 $5.67
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Borshchev 8-4-1 VS 10-3 Camilo
5'11" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 156 lb
69" reach 69"
34 age 25
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.4 strikes landed / min
53% striking accuracy
4.8 strikes absorbed / min
56% striking defence
0.0 takedowns / 15 min
0% takedown accuracy
35% takedown defence
0.0 submissions / 15 min
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market65% vs 60%
Consensus84 of 113 analysts
Sharpest angleCamilo by Submission — 7 of 11 method calls
Recommendation Back Camilo @ $1.67 · fair $1.55 +8% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Matheus Camilo “I think Matheus Camilo is just going to be too well-rounded, too athletic, too strong for him and the grappling is just significantly better on Matheus Camilo's part. So I think he's going to be able to outgrapple him and beat him that way pretty easily.”
DM DMan&MariPulls picks Matheus Camilo “U taking Matheus Camilo on this one.” $1.61
TH ThaGamingDojo picks Viacheslav Borshchev VALUE “I'm calling an upset on that one... I think Betta has more of an advantage than people give him best for... I'm going with Way.”
FI Figure4_MMA picks Matheus Camilo VALUE “I'm picking Matheus Camilo to win this fight by decision most likely 29 28 decision”
MA Mustafa Abutair picks Matheus Camilo VALUE “I'm going to go with Matheus Camilo.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Matheus Camilo “I'm gonna play Matheus Camilo by sub” $1.57
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Matheus Camilo “I'm gonna pick Matheus Camilo money line minus 175.” $1.57
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Viacheslav Borshchev “I believe it's going to be Viacheslav Borshchev”
WM Wristlock MMA picks Viacheslav Borshchev VALUE “First fight of EVENT_DETAILS, BSD versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_5. Not to go the distance. It's favored to happen. I think it, no matter who wins, I think they do probably get a finish.”
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Viacheslav Borshchev “I'm going to go Viacheslav Borshchev here.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Matheus Camilo “Uh, Viacheslav Borshchev loses. He retires”
TT Takedown Titan picks Matheus Camilo “I think Matheus Camilo is just going to use the wrestling that B chef has, you know, always struggle with.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Borshchev8-4-1
L Camilo Decision · R3 Nov '25
L McKinney Submission · R1 Jun '25
L Nolan Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Llontop Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Hooper Submission · R2 May '24
Camilo10-3
W Sadykhov KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Borshchev Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Green Submission · R2 May '25