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UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
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JM IM Maddalena vs MakhachevMain Card · Welterweight VS ZW Shevchenko vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Flyweight SB MM Brady vs MoralesMain Card · Welterweight LE CP Edwards vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight BN RV Nickal vs VieiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight RK GR Kopylov vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight EB TC Blanchfield vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KD GM Daukaus vs MeerschaertEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight PS CM Sabatini vs MariscalEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight AH FK Hill vs KlineEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight BS EM Susurkaev vs McConicoEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight VB MC Borshchev vs CamiloEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight BD BD Dariush vs DenisMain Card · Catchweight MW EE Wellmaker vs EwingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE We back Daukaus over Meerschaert · Middleweight Our fair value$1.22 Unibet (SE) pays above fair $1.27
Where to back Daukaus best price · region · EV vs fair $1.22
US Bovada $1.23 +1%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.20 -2%
EU Unibet (SE) $1.27 +4%
AU Bet Right $1.21 -1%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.22
Consensus182 picks · conf 99/99
Daukaus 157
25 Meerschaert
TKPMBT pick Daukaus
How it endsmethod calls · Daukaus · crowd line
KO/TKO 19 $1.29
Decision 1 $24.42
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Daukaus 17-4 VS 37-21 Meerschaert
6'2" height 6'1"
186 lb weight 186 lb
76" reach 78"
33 age 38
Southpaw stance Southpaw
2.9 strikes landed / min 3.1
60% striking accuracy 45%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
59% striking defence 53%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
35% takedown accuracy 35%
88% takedown defence 42%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 1.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market82% vs 79%
Consensus157 of 182 analysts
Sharpest angleDaukaus by KO/TKO — 19 of 20 method calls
Recommendation Back Daukaus @ $1.27 · fair $1.22 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Kyle Daukaus “I'm pick Kyle Daukaus to win this one. Kyle Daukaus is going to going to do it. >> So, I got Kyle Daukaus.”
LM Lightning MMA picks Kyle Daukaus VALUE “We got to go with Kyle Daukaus. He's definitely better than his brother NOT_IN_ROSTER_7. Yeah, Dawkins by first on knockout”
MA Mustafa Abutair picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I believe NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 is going to be able to get a ton probably on the feet within the first two rounds... I'm going to go with Kyle Daukaus by first round TKO.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Kyle Daukaus “tapology pick, I'm picking Kyle Daukaus.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Kyle Daukaus “I'm gonna go with Kyle Daukaus in tapology. I'm going with Kyle Daukaus.”
LI liltoaster picks Kyle Daukaus “Dude, I'm picking Kyle Daukaus”
PE Pat Egan picks Gerald Meerschaert “I lean towards Gerald Meerschaert, but I don't feel good about that one.”
MC MMA CTRL picks Kyle Daukaus VALUE “Kyle Daukaus, the minus 370 favorite over Gerald Meerschaert. insane odds, but I'm taking Kyle Kyle Daukaus.” $1.27
WA WARTIMEMMA picks Kyle Daukaus “I will go with Kyle Daukaus Kyle Daukaus is my pick to win this”
MC MMA Che picks Kyle Daukaus “Kyle Daukaus versus bet is BST and Kyle Daukaus Gerald Meerschaert.”
RI Rigo picks Kyle Daukaus “that's my lock I love Kyle Daukaus ... Kyle Daukaus and Islam Makhachev knock out Gerald Meerschaert. I honestly Gerald Meerschaert is like a step down this matchup with Gerald Meerschaert and another lock”
WP Whats Happenin' Podcast picks Gerald Meerschaert “I like Gerald Meerschaert.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Daukaus17-4
L Nickal KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Meerschaert Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Pereira KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Anders KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R1 Jun '22
Meerschaert37-21
L Malkoun Decision · R3 May '26
L Daukaus Submission · R1 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Tavares Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Ridder Submission · R3 Nov '24