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Edwards vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight
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Daukaus vs MeerschaertEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Sabatini vs MariscalEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Maddalena vs MakhachevMain Card · Welterweight
VS
ZW
Shevchenko vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
SB
MM
Brady vs MoralesMain Card · Welterweight
LE
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Edwards vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight
BN
RV
Nickal vs VieiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RK
GR
Kopylov vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
EB
TC
Blanchfield vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KD
GM
Daukaus vs MeerschaertEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
PS
CM
Sabatini vs MariscalEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
AH
FK
Hill vs KlineEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BS
EM
Susurkaev vs McConicoEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
VB
MC
Borshchev vs CamiloEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BD
BD
Dariush vs DenisMain Card · Catchweight
MW
EE
Wellmaker vs EwingPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Mariscal
over Sabatini · Featherweight
Our fair value$1.95
pays above fair
$2.12
Best prices · Mariscal
Bovada · US
$2.10
William Hill (UK) · UK
$2.00
LeoVegas (SE) · EU
$2.12
TAB · AU
$2.05
Where to back Mariscal
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.95
US
Bovada
$2.10
+8%
Bovada
$2.10
+8%
UK
William Hill (UK)
$2.00
+2%
William Hill (UK)
$2.00
+2%
EU
LeoVegas (SE)
$2.12
+9%
LeoVegas (SE)
$2.12
+9%
AU
TAB
$2.05
+5%
TAB
$2.05
+5%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.05
How it endsmethod calls · Mariscal · crowd line
KO/TKO
5
$3.90
Decision
5
$3.90
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Sabatini 21-5
VS
17-6 Mariscal
5'8"
height
5'7"
146 lb
weight
146 lb
70"
reach
69"
35
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
1.9
strikes landed / min
4.8
59%
striking accuracy
57%
1.5
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
48%
striking defence
50%
4.0
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
44%
takedown accuracy
39%
50%
takedown defence
72%
2.0
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market51% vs 47%
Consensus103 of 171 analysts
Sharpest angleMariscal by KO/TKO — 5 of 10 method calls
Recommendation
Back Mariscal @ $2.12 · fair $1.95
+9% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“I am gonna pick Chepe Marascow to get this done via decision.”
GLO MMA picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“I am gonna pick Chepe Marascow to get this done via decision.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Chepe Mariscal
“So I'm going to go Chepe Mariscal Dawkins to win by finish.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Chepe Mariscal
“So I'm going to go Chepe Mariscal Dawkins to win by finish.”
TH
ThaGamingDojo picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“I'm a fan of Chepe... D aggressive unlimited cardio hell of a chin judo... I think that people sleeping on him... I think that guy could get to like top five.”
ThaGamingDojo picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“I'm a fan of Chepe... D aggressive unlimited cardio hell of a chin judo... I think that people sleeping on him... I think that guy could get to like top five.”
LM
Lightning MMA picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“We got to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 by decision 29 28”
Lightning MMA picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“We got to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 by decision 29 28”
LM
Lightning MMA picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“Pat Sabatini, I don't know why maybe because of the Damon Jackson fight. I believe he's chinny... NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 by decision 29 28”
Lightning MMA picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“Pat Sabatini, I don't know why maybe because of the Damon Jackson fight. I believe he's chinny... NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 by decision 29 28”
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“that's why I'm taking Chepe Mariscal for the upset I do believe.”
$2.10
Capper Comparison Picks picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“that's why I'm taking Chepe Mariscal for the upset I do believe.”
$2.10
WM
Wristlock MMA picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I think uh we're we're not asking too much in either of these fights. Just for round two to start ... I think if there is a finish in the Leon Edwards Protest fight, it's going to be after the first round. Same thing in the Chepe Pat Sabatini fight. Unless Chep catches him with something crazy or Pat Sabatini gets a weird submission, I think this fight most likely goes all three rounds or maybe a late finish.”
Wristlock MMA picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I think uh we're we're not asking too much in either of these fights. Just for round two to start ... I think if there is a finish in the Leon Edwards Protest fight, it's going to be after the first round. Same thing in the Chepe Pat Sabatini fight. Unless Chep catches him with something crazy or Pat Sabatini gets a weird submission, I think this fight most likely goes all three rounds or maybe a late finish.”
WM
Wristlock MMA picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“Carlos Prates Money Line. I think he's the better kickboxer than Leon Edwards. I think he's a better martial artist ... I think Pat Sabatini has fought already the highest levels at 170. And I think he's going to show even if he doesn't finish him, I think he dominates Leon Edwards and makes it look easy kind of.”
Wristlock MMA picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“Carlos Prates Money Line. I think he's the better kickboxer than Leon Edwards. I think he's a better martial artist ... I think Pat Sabatini has fought already the highest levels at 170. And I think he's going to show even if he doesn't finish him, I think he dominates Leon Edwards and makes it look easy kind of.”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“I love Pat Sabatini bit of money on Chep Chepe Mariscal here. Even with Pat Sabatini. I think he's going to like Pat Sabatini and I like Pat Sabatini by why you would pick Pat Sabatini for sure.”
MMA CTRL picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
“I love Pat Sabatini bit of money on Chep Chepe Mariscal here. Even with Pat Sabatini. I think he's going to like Pat Sabatini and I like Pat Sabatini by why you would pick Pat Sabatini for sure.”
MC
MMA CTRL picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I like Chepe Mariscal.”
MMA CTRL picks Chepe Mariscal VALUE
“I like Chepe Mariscal.”
WA
WARTIMEMMA picks Chepe Mariscal
“I got Chepe Mariscal second round TK.”
WARTIMEMMA picks Chepe Mariscal
“I got Chepe Mariscal second round TK.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Sabatini21-5
W
Gomis
May '26
W
Mariscal
Nov '25
W
Brito
Apr '25
W
Pearce
Oct '24
L
Lopes
Nov '23
Mariscal17-6
L
Sabatini
Nov '25
W
Ramos
Mar '25
W
Jackson
Aug '24
W
Charrière
Apr '24
W
Jenkins
Sep '23