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Edwards vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight
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Maddalena vs MakhachevMain Card · Welterweight
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Shevchenko vs WeiliMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
SB
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Brady vs MoralesMain Card · Welterweight
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Edwards vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight
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RV
Nickal vs VieiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RK
GR
Kopylov vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
EB
TC
Blanchfield vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
KD
GM
Daukaus vs MeerschaertEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
PS
CM
Sabatini vs MariscalEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
AH
FK
Hill vs KlineEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BS
EM
Susurkaev vs McConicoEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
VB
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Borshchev vs CamiloEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
BD
BD
Dariush vs DenisMain Card · Catchweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Prates
over Edwards · Welterweight
Our fair value$1.62
pays above fair
$1.68
Best prices · Prates
DraftKings · US
$1.68
Unibet (UK) · UK
$1.65
Pinnacle · EU
$1.65
PointsBet (AU) · AU
$1.63
Where to back Prates
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.62
US
DraftKings
$1.68
+4%
DraftKings
$1.68
+4%
UK
Unibet (UK)
$1.65
+2%
Unibet (UK)
$1.65
+2%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.65
+2%
Pinnacle
$1.65
+2%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$1.63
+1%
PointsBet (AU)
$1.63
+1%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.67
How it endsmethod calls · Prates · crowd line
KO/TKO
19
$2.04
Decision
5
$7.76
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Edwards 22-5
VS
23-7 Prates
6'2"
height
6'1"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
74"
reach
78"
34
age
32
Southpaw
stance
Switch
3.9
strikes landed / min
4.4
48%
striking accuracy
57%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
60%
striking defence
48%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
39%
takedown accuracy
100%
73%
takedown defence
91%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market62% vs 60%
Consensus188 of 297 analysts
Sharpest anglePrates by KO/TKO — 19 of 24 method calls
Recommendation
Back Prates @ $1.68 · fair $1.62
+4% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GM
GLO MMA picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“I'm gonna pick Chepe Marascow to get this done via decision.”
GLO MMA picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“I'm gonna pick Chepe Marascow to get this done via decision.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“I will be wearing my Carlos Pro shirt during this whole event... I'm picking Carlos Prates to get this done by decision.”
GLO MMA picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“I will be wearing my Carlos Pro shirt during this whole event... I'm picking Carlos Prates to get this done by decision.”
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Carlos Prates
“I'm gonna go with Carlos Prates.”
Bruce Oldham MMA picks Carlos Prates
“I'm gonna go with Carlos Prates.”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“Leon Edwards is just not in the ... I think Leon Edwards is the guy to I would say that Gregory Rodrigues is probably the side of Gregory Rodrigues and that is my Gregory Rodrigues gets opened up so easily. >> I'm on Gregory Rodrigues here.”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“Leon Edwards is just not in the ... I think Leon Edwards is the guy to I would say that Gregory Rodrigues is probably the side of Gregory Rodrigues and that is my Gregory Rodrigues gets opened up so easily. >> I'm on Gregory Rodrigues here.”
TH
ThaGamingDojo picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“I think this is probably gonna be the easiest pick that we can have on this card. Like, there's no possible way Protes loses this fight.”
ThaGamingDojo picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“I think this is probably gonna be the easiest pick that we can have on this card. Like, there's no possible way Protes loses this fight.”
LM
Lightning MMA picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“We got to go with Pratz by second round knockout”
Lightning MMA picks Leon Edwards VALUE
“We got to go with Pratz by second round knockout”
MA
Mustafa Abutair picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“I'm going to go with Carlos Prates by TKO or KO against the fence in the first round.”
Mustafa Abutair picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“I'm going to go with Carlos Prates by TKO or KO against the fence in the first round.”
PE
Pat Egan picks Leon Edwards
“he wins a decision in this one.”
Pat Egan picks Leon Edwards
“he wins a decision in this one.”
WA
WARTIMEMMA picks Carlos Prates
“I'm with a Carlos Prates win here.”
WARTIMEMMA picks Carlos Prates
“I'm with a Carlos Prates win here.”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Carlos Prates
“I think it's Carlos Prates by”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Carlos Prates
“I think it's Carlos Prates by”
MC
MMA Che picks Carlos Prates
“I think Carlos Prates is a good pick for this ... I would say Carlos Prates”
MMA Che picks Carlos Prates
“I think Carlos Prates is a good pick for this ... I would say Carlos Prates”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Edwards22-5
L
Prates
Nov '25
L
Brady
Mar '25
L
Muhammad
Jul '24
W
Covington
Dec '23
W
Usman
Mar '23
Prates23-7
W
Maddalena
May '26
W
Edwards
Nov '25
W
Neal
Aug '25
L
Garry
Apr '25
W
Magny
Nov '24