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Emmett vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
AL
GR
Lemos vs RobertsonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IC
OS
Cuțelaba vs SyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
JD
Fili vs DelgadoMain Card · Featherweight
MR
HH
Rahiki vs HardwickMain Card · Featherweight
VP
SA
Petrino vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CJ
BS
Johnson vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
BO
MS
Oki vs SousaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LL
HS
Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BM
MR
Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
ES
YS
Smith vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BT
EA
Tavares vs AndersPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CC
MO
Curtis vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PR
SH
Rodríguez vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Asplund
over Petrino · Heavyweight
Our fair value$2.83
pays above fair
$3.25
Best prices · Asplund
Hard Rock Bet · US
$2.90
Betway · UK
$3.00
Betclic (FR) · EU
$3.25
PlayUp · AU
$3.00
Where to back Asplund
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.83
US
Hard Rock Bet
$2.90
+2%
Hard Rock Bet
$2.90
+2%
UK
Betway
$3.00
+6%
Betway
$3.00
+6%
EU
Betclic (FR)
$3.25
+15%
Betclic (FR)
$3.25
+15%
AU
PlayUp
$3.00
+6%
PlayUp
$3.00
+6%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.86
How it endsmethod calls · Asplund · crowd line
KO/TKO
4
$3.54
Decision
1
$14.16
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Petrino 13-2
VS
7-1 Asplund
6'2"
height
6'5"
250 lb
weight
261 lb
78"
reach
78"
28
age
27
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.4
strikes landed / min
—
64%
striking accuracy
—
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
—
69%
striking defence
—
2.4
takedowns / 15 min
—
32%
takedown accuracy
—
53%
takedown defence
—
1.5
submissions / 15 min
—
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market35% vs 31%
Consensus9 of 21 analysts
Sharpest angleAsplund by KO/TKO — 4 of 5 method calls
Recommendation
Back Asplund @ $3.25 · fair $2.83
+15% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“Kevin Villister round NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 HTKO 9.3 out of 10 confidence.”
MMAbouts Talks picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“Kevin Villister round NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 HTKO 9.3 out of 10 confidence.”
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Steven Asplund VALUE
“Steven Asplund third round KO TKO 7.8 out of 10 confidence.”
MMAbouts Talks picks Steven Asplund VALUE
“Steven Asplund third round KO TKO 7.8 out of 10 confidence.”
IM
IJB MMA picks Vitor Petrino
“And now Vitor Petrino, I think he's submitting Steven Asplund.”
IJB MMA picks Vitor Petrino
“And now Vitor Petrino, I think he's submitting Steven Asplund.”
AN
AntUFC picks Steven Asplund
“But I'm going to go Vtor Patrino by to get a KO in rounds one or two.”
AntUFC picks Steven Asplund
“But I'm going to go Vtor Patrino by to get a KO in rounds one or two.”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“I think Vitor Petrino's way of winning this fight is getting this fight to the ground and finding a submission.”
Keep it a Buck Media picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“I think Vitor Petrino's way of winning this fight is getting this fight to the ground and finding a submission.”
PT
Premier TV picks Steven Asplund
“I said I'm betting on Steven Asplund betting on Steven Asplund this week, but”
Premier TV picks Steven Asplund
“I said I'm betting on Steven Asplund betting on Steven Asplund this week, but”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Vitor Petrino
“I'm going to go Vitor Petrino in this.”
Bozing MMA picks Vitor Petrino
“I'm going to go Vitor Petrino in this.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Vitor Petrino
“I'm going with Vitor Petrino by decision.”
McManusMMA picks Vitor Petrino
“I'm going with Vitor Petrino by decision.”
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“give me Steven Aswood by maybe a round three KO or a 29 28 30 27 decision.”
The MMA Outlaw picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“give me Steven Aswood by maybe a round three KO or a 29 28 30 27 decision.”
SC
ScriptedMMA picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_16... I think Steven Aswood comes in. I think he gets that second round knockout.”
ScriptedMMA picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_16... I think Steven Aswood comes in. I think he gets that second round knockout.”
FF
Frozen Fists picks Steven Asplund VALUE
“I'm going with Steven Asplund, probably by TKO.”
Frozen Fists picks Steven Asplund VALUE
“I'm going with Steven Asplund, probably by TKO.”
LM
Loki MMA picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“Vitor Petrino... has strong hooks and uppercuts, but he's kind of sloppy at times... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 is just going to be able to keep it standing and push a pace on him... NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 by just tough decision.”
Loki MMA picks Vitor Petrino VALUE
“Vitor Petrino... has strong hooks and uppercuts, but he's kind of sloppy at times... I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 is just going to be able to keep it standing and push a pace on him... NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 by just tough decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Petrino13-2
W
Asplund
Mar '26
W
Petersen
Oct '25
W
Lane
Jul '25
L
Jacoby
Dec '24
L
Smith
May '24
Asplund7-1
L
Petrino
Mar '26
W
Sharaf
Dec '25