Choose a fight to analyse
JE
KV
Emmett vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
AL
GR
Lemos vs RobertsonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IC
OS
Cuțelaba vs SyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
JD
Fili vs DelgadoMain Card · Featherweight
MR
HH
Rahiki vs HardwickMain Card · Featherweight
VP
SA
Petrino vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CJ
BS
Johnson vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
BO
MS
Oki vs SousaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LL
HS
Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BM
MR
Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
ES
YS
Smith vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BT
EA
Tavares vs AndersPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CC
MO
Curtis vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PR
SH
Rodríguez vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
KV
Emmett vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
AL
GR
Lemos vs RobertsonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IC
OS
Cuțelaba vs SyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
JD
Fili vs DelgadoMain Card · Featherweight
MR
HH
Rahiki vs HardwickMain Card · Featherweight
VP
SA
Petrino vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CJ
BS
Johnson vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
BO
MS
Oki vs SousaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LL
HS
Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BM
MR
Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
ES
YS
Smith vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BT
EA
Tavares vs AndersPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CC
MO
Curtis vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PR
SH
Rodríguez vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Lacerda
over Sosa · Bantamweight
Our fair value$2.59
pays above fair
$3.00
Best prices · Lacerda
BetRivers · US
$2.70
Betway · UK
$3.00
LeoVegas (SE) · EU
$2.95
TAB · AU
$2.90
Where to back Lacerda
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.59
US
BetRivers
$2.70
+4%
BetRivers
$2.70
+4%
UK
Betway
$3.00
+16%
Betway
$3.00
+16%
EU
LeoVegas (SE)
$2.95
+14%
LeoVegas (SE)
$2.95
+14%
AU
TAB
$2.90
+12%
TAB
$2.90
+12%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$2.56
How it endsmethod calls · Lacerda · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$5.17
Submission
1
$5.17
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Lacerda 13-3
VS
14-1 Sosa
5'7"
height
5'8"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
72"
reach
70"
33
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.2
strikes landed / min
—
48%
striking accuracy
—
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
—
49%
striking defence
—
2.4
takedowns / 15 min
—
57%
takedown accuracy
—
58%
takedown defence
—
1.1
submissions / 15 min
—
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market39% vs 33%
Consensus10 of 21 analysts
Sharpest angleLacerda by KO/TKO — 1 of 2 method calls
Recommendation
Back Lacerda @ $3.00 · fair $2.59
+16% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MT
MMAbouts Talks picks Luan Lacerda VALUE
“I think Sza will win this by points to be honest. I don't think he'll knock out Lan, and I don't think he'll sub Lan.”
MMAbouts Talks picks Luan Lacerda VALUE
“I think Sza will win this by points to be honest. I don't think he'll knock out Lan, and I don't think he'll sub Lan.”
IM
IJB MMA picks Hecher Sosa
“I think he is going to be able to beat him to decision similarly to how he beat Maxim Lee.”
IJB MMA picks Hecher Sosa
“I think he is going to be able to beat him to decision similarly to how he beat Maxim Lee.”
DO
DonDaDa02 picks Luan Lacerda VALUE
“Sosa is going to win this matchup. Luan Lacerda, I'm pretty sure he's been out of the cage for a very long time, but I think Sosa will get the job done here.”
DonDaDa02 picks Luan Lacerda VALUE
“Sosa is going to win this matchup. Luan Lacerda, I'm pretty sure he's been out of the cage for a very long time, but I think Sosa will get the job done here.”
AN
AntUFC picks Hecher Sosa
“I like so feet I think he'll land some of the harder punches and win this fight by decision or a late rounds NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 versus monon be mosquito.”
AntUFC picks Hecher Sosa
“I like so feet I think he'll land some of the harder punches and win this fight by decision or a late rounds NOT_IN_ROSTER_2 versus monon be mosquito.”
PT
Premier TV picks Luan Lacerda
“I ended up going with Luan Lacerda.”
Premier TV picks Luan Lacerda
“I ended up going with Luan Lacerda.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Hecher Sosa
“I think Hecher Sosa is just going to outdamage him.”
Bozing MMA picks Hecher Sosa
“I think Hecher Sosa is just going to outdamage him.”
MD
MMA DUMMY picks Hecher Sosa VALUE
“I'm taking Hetra Sosa, man... I'm taking Sosa by decision.”
MMA DUMMY picks Hecher Sosa VALUE
“I'm taking Hetra Sosa, man... I'm taking Sosa by decision.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Hecher Sosa
“I'm going Hecher Sosa by KO TKO.”
McManusMMA picks Hecher Sosa
“I'm going Hecher Sosa by KO TKO.”
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Hecher Sosa VALUE
“I'm going to go with Hecher Sosa.”
The MMA Outlaw picks Hecher Sosa VALUE
“I'm going to go with Hecher Sosa.”
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Luan Lacerda VALUE
“I do believe Luan Lacerda is going to get it done by decision or potentially even a KO here.”
The MMA Outlaw picks Luan Lacerda VALUE
“I do believe Luan Lacerda is going to get it done by decision or potentially even a KO here.”
SC
ScriptedMMA picks Hecher Sosa VALUE
“Hecher Sosa via first round knockout.”
ScriptedMMA picks Hecher Sosa VALUE
“Hecher Sosa via first round knockout.”
CO
CouchWarrior1 picks Luan Lacerda
“I'm going to go Luan Lacerda.”
CouchWarrior1 picks Luan Lacerda
“I'm going to go Luan Lacerda.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Lacerda13-3
L
Sosa
Mar '26
W
Oliveira
Oct '25
L
Blackshear
Jun '23
L
Stamann
Jan '23
Sosa14-1
W
Lacerda
Mar '26