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Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Smith vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Rodríguez vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
KV
Emmett vs VallejosMain Card · Featherweight
AL
GR
Lemos vs RobertsonMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
IC
OS
Cuțelaba vs SyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
JD
Fili vs DelgadoMain Card · Featherweight
MR
HH
Rahiki vs HardwickMain Card · Featherweight
VP
SA
Petrino vs AsplundPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
CJ
BS
Johnson vs SilvaMain Card · Flyweight
BO
MS
Oki vs SousaPreliminary Card · Lightweight
LL
HS
Lacerda vs SosaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BM
MR
Mesquita vs RendonPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
ES
YS
Smith vs Su-youngPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
BT
EA
Tavares vs AndersPreliminary Card · Middleweight
CC
MO
Curtis vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Welterweight
PR
SH
Rodríguez vs HughesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Smith
over Su-young · Bantamweight
Our fair value$1.26
pays above fair
$1.51
Best prices · Smith
FanDuel · US
$1.37
William Hill (UK) · UK
$1.40
Unibet (SE) · EU
$1.51
PlayUp · AU
$1.42
Where to back Smith
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.26
US
FanDuel
$1.37
+9%
FanDuel
$1.37
+9%
UK
William Hill (UK)
$1.40
+11%
William Hill (UK)
$1.40
+11%
EU
Unibet (SE)
$1.51
+20%
Unibet (SE)
$1.51
+20%
AU
PlayUp
$1.42
+13%
PlayUp
$1.42
+13%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.41
How it endsmethod calls · Smith · crowd line
KO/TKO
3
$3.36
Decision
5
$2.02
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Smith 9-1
VS
15-8-1 Su-young
5'9"
height
5'9"
136 lb
weight
233 lb
71"
reach
69"
23
age
—
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
4.6
41%
striking accuracy
49%
5.1
strikes absorbed / min
2.7
43%
striking defence
63%
5.0
takedowns / 15 min
3.0
45%
takedown accuracy
44%
100%
takedown defence
62%
1.0
submissions / 15 min
0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market79% vs 66%
Consensus24 of 24 analysts
Sharpest angleSmith by Decision — 5 of 8 method calls
Recommendation
Back Smith @ $1.51 · fair $1.26
+20% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
IM
IJB MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I think I'm going to go with him by around TKO. Yeah, TKO.”
IJB MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I think I'm going to go with him by around TKO. Yeah, TKO.”
DO
DonDaDa02 picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I believe Elijah Smith is going to get the job done here. I think he wins this by unanimous decision”
DonDaDa02 picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I believe Elijah Smith is going to get the job done here. I think he wins this by unanimous decision”
AN
AntUFC picks Elijah Smith
“I believe that Elijah Smith will win either a decision on the feet where he just lands a better shots or or he finishes to Kevin Vallejos. I think and I think he will get a finish in round three by TKO is what I'm going to say.”
AntUFC picks Elijah Smith
“I believe that Elijah Smith will win either a decision on the feet where he just lands a better shots or or he finishes to Kevin Vallejos. I think and I think he will get a finish in round three by TKO is what I'm going to say.”
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Elijah Smith VALUE
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Elijah Smith VALUE
GM
GLO MMA picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I'm picking Elijah Smith to get this done via KO.”
GLO MMA picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I'm picking Elijah Smith to get this done via KO.”
PT
Premier TV picks Elijah Smith
“I'm also gonna play that as a straight.”
Premier TV picks Elijah Smith
“I'm also gonna play that as a straight.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I think he gets it gets it done.”
Bozing MMA picks Elijah Smith
“I think he gets it gets it done.”
MD
MMA DUMMY picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I'm taking Elijah Smith. He definitely has a shorter career than... I'm going to stop with this bit. But we're taking Elijah Smith by round two. KO.”
MMA DUMMY picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I'm taking Elijah Smith. He definitely has a shorter career than... I'm going to stop with this bit. But we're taking Elijah Smith by round two. KO.”
MC
McManusMMA picks Elijah Smith
“I'm going to go Elijah Smith by decision.”
McManusMMA picks Elijah Smith
“I'm going to go Elijah Smith by decision.”
TO
The MMA Outlaw picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“Elijah Smith is going to come out on top against Su Yong Yu potentially.”
The MMA Outlaw picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“Elijah Smith is going to come out on top against Su Yong Yu potentially.”
MA
MaybeLuissMMA picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I'll just go Elijah Smith, I think Elijah Smith is better all prospect. So, I got Elijah Smith by Mont.”
MaybeLuissMMA picks Elijah Smith VALUE
“I'll just go Elijah Smith, I think Elijah Smith is better all prospect. So, I got Elijah Smith by Mont.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Smith9-1
W
Su-young
Mar '26
W
Kazama
Aug '25
W
Morales
Feb '25
Su-young15-8-1
L
Smith
Mar '26
W
Long
Aug '25
W
Cunningham
Mar '25
W
Jieleyisi
Nov '24