MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Choose a fight to analyse
RM CD Moicano vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight VJ TR Jandiroba vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AY BR Yakhyaev vs RibeiroMain Card · Light Heavyweight EE RE Ewing vs EstevamMain Card · Catchweight TM MZ McMillen vs ZecchiniMain Card · Featherweight GP TP Pat vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JD RR Delano vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight AC SN Costa vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight LV DF Vannata vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP HC Pereira vs CowanPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB TG Bekoev vs GorePreliminary Card · Middleweight DB MG Barbosa vs GattoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KI DH III vs HopePreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Pat over Petersen · Heavyweight Our fair value$1.76 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $2.02
Where to back Pat best price · region · EV vs fair $1.76
US BetOnline.ag $2.02 +15%
UK Unibet (UK) $2.00 +13%
EU Pinnacle $2.00 +13%
AU PointsBet (AU) $2.00 +13%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $2.00
Consensus91 picks · conf 82/99
Pat 66
25 Petersen
TKTRBH pick Pat
How it endsmethod calls · Pat · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $3.53
Decision 4 $3.53
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pat 6-0 VS 10-4 Petersen
6'5" height 6'1"
238 lb weight 246 lb
81" reach 74"
32 age 31
Orthodox stance Southpaw
— strikes landed / min 4.6
— striking accuracy 55%
— strikes absorbed / min 2.6
— striking defence 54%
— takedowns / 15 min 2.1
— takedown accuracy 36%
— takedown defence 78%
— submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 50%
Consensus66 of 91 analysts
Sharpest anglePat by KO/TKO — 4 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Pat @ $2.02 · fair $1.76 +15% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Guilherme Pat VALUE “Guilherme Pat, I'm pretty sure, is a But Gear made Guilherme Pat won in the first think he'll beat Thomas Petersen. beat Thomas Petersen and he's like a him, Tommy McMillen, and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev on a parlay. Guilherme Pat's plus money. So, [ __ ] it. I'd ride fly.”
RA RameiMMA picks Guilherme Pat VALUE “Guilherme Pat round two TKO. It's going to smoke him out flat.”
RA RameiMMA picks Thomas Petersen VALUE “I'm feeling a Renato Hanato Renato Moicano submission... Main card predictions... Hinata Renato Moicano”
SA Stoic Athlete picks Guilherme Pat VALUE “We're going to go with Guilherme Pat to win this fight.”
OR One More Round picks Guilherme Pat “I'm going with my boy Guilherme Pat.”
NM Next MMA picks Guilherme Pat “So, in this fight I have no doubts and I'm going with Guilherme Pat and I think he's going to I'm going with Guilherme Pat and I think he's going to I'm going with Guilherme Pat and I think he's going to knock out Thomas Thomas Petersen.”
CM Crashout MMA picks Thomas Petersen VALUE “Thomas Petersen is going to get KO brutally.”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Thomas Petersen “I'm going to pick Thomas Petersen to win”
TW The MMA Way picks Thomas Petersen VALUE “I think Thomas Petersen really takes that safe bet... I think Thomas Petersen is is going to handle that pretty easily. Maybe finish on the ground. Likely decision.”
SN SniperWins picks Guilherme Pat VALUE “I'm going to go with Guilherme Pat ... he's Guilherme Pat as the straightup pick. bit of value on Guilherme Pat”
RX RX picks Guilherme Pat “give me go a hair made pet by decision”
MT MMAbouts Talks picks Guilherme Pat VALUE “Gary Guilherme Pat second round knockout”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pat6-0
L Petersen Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Frye Decision · R3 Dec '25
Petersen10-4
W Pat Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Mayes Decision · R3 May '25
L Gaziev KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
W Usman Decision · R3 Jul '24