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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
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RM CD Moicano vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight VJ TR Jandiroba vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AY BR Yakhyaev vs RibeiroMain Card · Light Heavyweight EE RE Ewing vs EstevamMain Card · Catchweight TM MZ McMillen vs ZecchiniMain Card · Featherweight GP TP Pat vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JD RR Delano vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight AC SN Costa vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight LV DF Vannata vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP HC Pereira vs CowanPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB TG Bekoev vs GorePreliminary Card · Middleweight DB MG Barbosa vs GattoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KI DH III vs HopePreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Bekoev over Gore · Middleweight Our fair value$1.15 Paddy Power pays above fair $1.17
Where to back Bekoev best price · region · EV vs fair $1.15
US BetOnline.ag $1.17 +2%
UK Paddy Power $1.17 +2%
EU Pinnacle $1.16 +1%
AU Unibet $1.15 0%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.16
Consensus71 picks · conf 76/99
Bekoev 66
5 Gore
DTMHGO pick Bekoev
How it endsmethod calls · Bekoev · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $1.34
Decision 1 $8.05
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bekoev 0-0 VS 6-4 Gore
6'0" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 185 lb
72" reach 75"
30 age 32
Orthodox stance Switch
4.7 strikes landed / min 3.0
38% striking accuracy 54%
2.3 strikes absorbed / min 5.9
49% striking defence 47%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 3.5
29% takedown accuracy 75%
60% takedown defence 83%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 1.7
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market87% vs 85%
Consensus66 of 71 analysts
Sharpest angleBekoev by KO/TKO — 6 of 7 method calls
Recommendation Back Bekoev @ $1.17 · fair $1.15 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RH RHYTHMBETZ picks Azamat Bekoev “Azamat Bekoev by finish.”
NM Next MMA picks Azamat Bekoev “I have a super favorite and you'll know who I'm going with and obviously it's Azamat Bekoev”
CM Crashout MMA picks Azamat Bekoev VALUE “I think Azamat Bekoev is going to win this one. I think he's a better grappler. I think he's a better striker. I think he's better everywhere.”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Azamat Bekoev “Azamat Bekoev going to go with Azamat Bekoev to win I think”
PW P Welsh picks Azamat Bekoev VALUE “Azamat Bekoev, big favorite here. Uh Azamat Bekoev round one KO. I like um lost to EVENT_DETAILS last time out... So, um, yeah, Azamat Bekoev believe he's going to touch this guy's chin and it might explode.”
TW The MMA Way picks Azamat Bekoev VALUE “I'm like 10 out of 10% confident. I have no doubt in my mind that this is the most confident I am almost out of every single here. I'm super confident about that. I really think he takes it.”
RX RX picks Azamat Bekoev “he's going to win this fight easily”
MT MMA Tugg picks Azamat Bekoev “Give me Azamat Bekoev either by knockout or by decision.”
UI UFC Investor picks Azamat Bekoev “I'm picking Azamat Bekoev.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Azamat Bekoev “if Azamat Bekoev of goes out there and pays off this price tag, I think he's probably going to finish Tresean Gore and that's what I lean towards him doing.”
RM Rawnell MMA picks Tresean Gore “I do want to see Tresean Gore get a win”
HM Horror MMA picks Azamat Bekoev “I'm gonna go with Azamat Bekoev and I'm going to go with Azamat Bekoev by TKO Azamat Bekoev round two TKO ground and pound.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bekoev0-0
L Gore Submission · R3 Apr '26
L Belgaroui KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
W Loder KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Reese KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
Gore6-4
W Bekoev Submission · R3 Apr '26
L Vieira Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Tulio KO/TKO · R2 Apr '25
W Trócoli Submission · R1 Nov '24
W Fremd Submission · R2 Oct '22