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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
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RM CD Moicano vs DuncanMain Card · Lightweight VJ TR Jandiroba vs RicciMain Card · Women'S Strawweight AY BR Yakhyaev vs RibeiroMain Card · Light Heavyweight EE RE Ewing vs EstevamMain Card · Catchweight TM MZ McMillen vs ZecchiniMain Card · Featherweight GP TP Pat vs PetersenPreliminary Card · Heavyweight JD RR Delano vs RuchałaMain Card · Featherweight AC SN Costa vs NicollPreliminary Card · Flyweight LV DF Vannata vs FlowersPreliminary Card · Catchweight AP HC Pereira vs CowanPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight AB TG Bekoev vs GorePreliminary Card · Middleweight DB MG Barbosa vs GattoPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KI DH III vs HopePreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Pereira over Cowan · Women'S Bantamweight Our fair value$1.64 Fliff pays above fair $1.80
Where to back Pereira best price · region · EV vs fair $1.64
US Fliff $1.80 +10%
UK Grosvenor $1.73 +6%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $1.79 +9%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.75 +7%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.75
Consensus83 picks · conf 79/99
Pereira 61
22 Cowan
WTTMGJ pick Pereira
How it endsmethod calls · Pereira · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $24.58
Submission 2 $12.29
Decision 12 $2.05
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pereira 6-1 VS 0-0 Cowan
5'10" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 136 lb
reach 67"
20 age 34
-- stance Southpaw
2.6 strikes landed / min 3.0
37% striking accuracy 42%
4.7 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
50% striking defence 34%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
49% takedown accuracy 33%
85% takedown defence 80%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market61% vs 56%
Consensus61 of 83 analysts
Sharpest anglePereira by Decision — 12 of 15 method calls
Recommendation Back Pereira @ $1.80 · fair $1.64 +10% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SM Surnett MMA picks Hailey Cowan VALUE “I'm going to go I'm going with Hailey Cowan”
GM GLO MMA picks Alice Pereira VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Elise Pereira to get this [__] done to be a decision”
IM IJB MMA picks Hailey Cowan VALUE
IM IJB MMA picks Alice Pereira VALUE
CA CasualMMA picks Alice Pereira VALUE “We're going to pick The Cute Girl by KO”
RH RHYTHMBETZ picks Hailey Cowan “Alice Pereira at versus Hailey Cowan's 33%. Hailey Cowan has the”
NM Next MMA picks Alice Pereira “I'm going with Alice Pereira”
CT CthulhuCycle picks Alice Pereira “Alice Pereira is going to win this.”
CM Crashout MMA picks Alice Pereira VALUE “Hailey Cowan, I forgot her last fight, but I'm going to say Alice Pereira. I think she I think she's going to make like the necessary improvements to actually be a UFC fighter.”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Alice Pereira “I'm going to go with Alice Pereira to fights.”
PW P Welsh picks Alice Pereira VALUE “I like Alice Pereira decision against Hailey Cowan. It's just hard to really think and I I just think Alice Pereira should beat up Hailey Cowan pretty good here.”
TW The MMA Way picks Hailey Cowan VALUE “I think NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 Hailey Cowan wins, but ignore this fight. This is a 50-50 fight... I truly believe that.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pereira6-1
W Cowan KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
L Rendon Decision · R3 Sep '25
Cowan0-0
L Pereira KO/TKO · R2 Apr '26
L Cornolle Submission · R2 Apr '25
L Horth Decision · R3 Apr '23