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CU
Procházka vs UlbergFight Card · Light Heavyweight
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Reyes vs WalkerFight Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
PC
Murzakanov vs CostaFight Card · Light Heavyweight
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Pitbull vs PicoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Radtke vs PradoEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Suarez vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CU
Procházka vs UlbergFight Card · Light Heavyweight
CB
JH
Blaydes vs HokitFight Card · Heavyweight
DR
JW
Reyes vs WalkerFight Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
PC
Murzakanov vs CostaFight Card · Light Heavyweight
PP
AP
Pitbull vs PicoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CS
NL
Swanson vs LandwehrFight Card · Featherweight
MG
ER
Gamrot vs RibovicsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
KH
RB
Holland vs BrownPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KG
VL
Gastelum vs LuqueEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
MM
CP
Mederos vs PadillaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
CR
FP
Radtke vs PradoEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
TS
LG
Suarez vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Murzakanov
over Costa · Light Heavyweight
Our fair value$1.46
pays above fair
$1.53
Best prices · Murzakanov
BetRivers · US
$1.49
Betfair Sportsbook · UK
$1.53
Unibet (SE) · EU
$1.49
PlayUp · AU
$1.48
Where to back Murzakanov
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.46
US
BetRivers
$1.49
+2%
BetRivers
$1.49
+2%
UK
Betfair Sportsbook
$1.53
+5%
Betfair Sportsbook
$1.53
+5%
EU
Unibet (SE)
$1.49
+2%
Unibet (SE)
$1.49
+2%
AU
PlayUp
$1.48
+1%
PlayUp
$1.48
+1%
PM
PM
Polymarket crowd exchange
$1.35
How it endsmethod calls · Murzakanov · crowd line
KO/TKO
19
$3.23
Decision
23
$2.67
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Murzakanov 16-0
VS
0-0 Costa
5'10"
height
6'1"
205 lb
weight
185 lb
72"
reach
72"
37
age
35
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
6.2
56%
striking accuracy
58%
2.9
strikes absorbed / min
6.6
61%
striking defence
49%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
15%
takedown accuracy
75%
83%
takedown defence
80%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market68% vs 65%
Consensus152 of 215 analysts
Sharpest angleMurzakanov by Decision — 23 of 42 method calls
Recommendation
Back Murzakanov @ $1.53 · fair $1.46
+5% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I think he's going to slam body kicks at Azamat... I think he's going to land big shots on MCOM and I think he's going to win”
Industry Plant MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I think he's going to slam body kicks at Azamat... I think he's going to land big shots on MCOM and I think he's going to win”
CA
CasualMMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Paulo Costa his best weapon is that body kick and he did beat Roman Cop Copilov which was somewhat impressive.”
CasualMMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“Paulo Costa his best weapon is that body kick and he did beat Roman Cop Copilov which was somewhat impressive.”
LM
Loki MMA picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE
“Azamat Murzakanov versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_7... I have Paulo either getting caught by Azamat Murzakanov or just losing a decision... So I have Azamat Murzakanov by knockout or damage based decision.”
Loki MMA picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE
“Azamat Murzakanov versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_7... I have Paulo either getting caught by Azamat Murzakanov or just losing a decision... So I have Azamat Murzakanov by knockout or damage based decision.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE
“going to pick him”
GLO MMA picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE
“going to pick him”
GM
GLO MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“going to pick him”
GLO MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“going to pick him”
CH
ChasingCombat picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“But the obvious pick is Azmat, but we'll just get right into my pick. My pick is Paulo Costa by decision. And I think Paulo is going to be very tough for NOT_IN_ROSTER_8. He's going to try to put Paulo out of there. But here's the thing. Paulo is going to eat all his punches and eventually edge a decision win”
ChasingCombat picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“But the obvious pick is Azmat, but we'll just get right into my pick. My pick is Paulo Costa by decision. And I think Paulo is going to be very tough for NOT_IN_ROSTER_8. He's going to try to put Paulo out of there. But here's the thing. Paulo is going to eat all his punches and eventually edge a decision win”
PM
Pak MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I really want to pick Paulo Costa”
Pak MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I really want to pick Paulo Costa”
TS
The Sports Scientist picks Azamat Murzakanov
“I think Blackjack is going to take upset a lot of people... The best bet here is that this fight goes into the second round... I'm going to go with the best bet here because this is not who's going to win this fight... The best bet here is that this fight reaches round two.”
The Sports Scientist picks Azamat Murzakanov
“I think Blackjack is going to take upset a lot of people... The best bet here is that this fight goes into the second round... I'm going to go with the best bet here because this is not who's going to win this fight... The best bet here is that this fight reaches round two.”
TS
The Sports Scientist picks Paulo Costa
“I think Paulo Costa is going to come out victorious... I'm pretty adamant that Azamat Murzakanov is going to come out victorious, 17-0.”
The Sports Scientist picks Paulo Costa
“I think Paulo Costa is going to come out victorious... I'm pretty adamant that Azamat Murzakanov is going to come out victorious, 17-0.”
CC
Cage Clash picks Paulo Costa VALUE
Cage Clash picks Paulo Costa VALUE
TS
The Open Mat Show picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I got faith in Paulo Costa, man.”
The Open Mat Show picks Paulo Costa VALUE
“I got faith in Paulo Costa, man.”
IV
IVUFC picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE
“I'm going with Azamat Murzakanov.”
IVUFC picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE
“I'm going with Azamat Murzakanov.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Murzakanov16-0
L
Costa
Apr '26
W
Rakić
Oct '25
W
Ribeiro
Jun '25
W
Menifield
Aug '24
W
Jacoby
Apr '23
Costa0-0
W
Murzakanov
Apr '26
W
Kopylov
Jul '25
L
Strickland
Jun '24
L
Whittaker
Feb '24
W
Rockhold
Aug '22