MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg
Choose a fight to analyse
JP CU Procházka vs UlbergFight Card · Light Heavyweight CB JH Blaydes vs HokitFight Card · Heavyweight DR JW Reyes vs WalkerFight Card · Light Heavyweight AM PC Murzakanov vs CostaFight Card · Light Heavyweight PP AP Pitbull vs PicoPreliminary Card · Featherweight CS NL Swanson vs LandwehrFight Card · Featherweight MG ER Gamrot vs RibovicsPreliminary Card · Lightweight KH RB Holland vs BrownPreliminary Card · Welterweight KG VL Gastelum vs LuqueEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight MM CP Mederos vs PadillaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight CR FP Radtke vs PradoEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight TS LG Suarez vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Gastelum over Luque · Middleweight Our fair value$1.34 Unibet (SE) pays above fair $1.40
Where to back Gastelum best price · region · EV vs fair $1.34
US BetOnline.ag $1.38 +3%
UK Betfair Sportsbook $1.36 +2%
EU Unibet (SE) $1.40 +5%
AU PlayUp $1.38 +3%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.43
Consensus172 picks · conf 99/99
Gastelum 144
28 Luque
TTBNTT pick Gastelum
How it endsmethod calls · Gastelum · crowd line
KO/TKO 13 $4.63
Submission 1 $60.23
Decision 31 $1.94
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gastelum 21-10 VS 0-0 Luque
5'9" height 5'11"
191 lb weight 170 lb
71" reach 76"
34 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 6.0
52% striking accuracy 57%
4.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
74% striking defence 55%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.4
32% takedown accuracy 69%
86% takedown defence 60%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market75% vs 71%
Consensus144 of 172 analysts
Sharpest angleGastelum by Decision — 31 of 45 method calls
Recommendation Back Gastelum @ $1.40 · fair $1.34 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
AN antsworldd picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I'm gonna pick Kelvin Gastelum.”
CA CasualMMA picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I think Kelvin Gastelum should have this pretty easy in my opinion.”
GM GLO MMA picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I'm going to go and pick Kelvin Gastelum”
ES etoft21 sports picks Kelvin Gastelum “I really don't think he's going to going to finish Gash. So, I do think we're just going to see a back and forth fight, leading me to think this fight is going to go the distance.” $1.89
CH ChasingCombat picks Vicente Luque VALUE “I'm going to go with Vicente Luque by decision in this fight just because I do think he's way better than Kelvin”
PM Pak MMA picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I'm picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 Kelvin Gastelum by KO just falls into the NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 Kelvin Gastelum trap”
TS The Sports Scientist picks Vicente Luque “Either guy could win. Um but again, the safest bet here is uh is that this fight reaches round two... I think the safe bet here is to say that this fight reaches round two.”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I think Kelvin Gastelum can get this done by knockout.”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Vicente Luque VALUE “I think he could get it done against Kelvin Gastelum.”
RS Round 3: Prediction Show picks Kelvin Gastelum VALUE “I'm going NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Kelvin Gastelum versus Vicente Luque. This So, give me Kelvin Gastelum.”
MO MoonRockASMR picks Kelvin Gastelum “I feel like Kelvin Gastelum's going to make this.”
KO Kyle OHare picks Kelvin Gastelum “that Kelvin Gastelum's going to win though. ... I'm I'm going to take uh Kelvin Gastelum Gastelin versus Vicente Luque.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gastelum21-10
L Luque Submission · R1 Apr '26
W Stoltzfus Decision · R3 Sep '25
L Pyfer Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Brady Submission · R3 Dec '23
Luque0-0
W Gastelum Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Álvarez Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Holland Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Gorimbo Submission · R1 Dec '24
L Buckley KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24