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UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg
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BEST PRICE We back Radtke over Prado · Welterweight Our fair value$1.46 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.59
Where to back Radtke best price · region · EV vs fair $1.46
US BetOnline.ag $1.59 +9%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.58 +8%
EU Pinnacle $1.59 +9%
AU Bet Right $1.56 +7%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.67
Consensus178 picks · conf 99/99
Radtke 144
34 Prado
TTTTmJ pick Radtke
How it endsmethod calls · Radtke · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $37.28
Submission 5 $14.91
Decision 44 $1.69
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Radtke 11-5 VS 12-4 Prado
5'9" height 5'10"
171 lb weight 170 lb
72" reach 69"
35 age 24
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 4.6
53% striking accuracy 41%
3.0 strikes absorbed / min 5.7
56% striking defence 52%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
12% takedown accuracy 0%
100% takedown defence 25%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market68% vs 63%
Consensus144 of 178 analysts
Sharpest angleRadtke by Decision — 44 of 51 method calls
Recommendation Back Radtke @ $1.59 · fair $1.46 +9% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
JI JB and The Italian picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I like Charles Radtke, Charles Radtke.”
IT itsLukas picks Charles Radtke “I'm going to go with Charles Radtke”
CA CasualMMA picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I'm going to just keep it simple. I'm going Charles Radtke.”
LM Loki MMA picks Charles Radtke VALUE “Charles Radtke versus Francisco Francisco Prado. And to me, this is an easy one to be honest. Francisco Prado is very young, not as experienced... So give me Rad Key in this one.”
RA RameiMMA picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I'm picking Charles Radtke”
GM GLO MMA picks Charles Radtke VALUE “it's gonna be my artist than Francisco Prado”
CH ChasingCombat picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I do think he does need to improve pick will be Charles Radtke by decision”
CV Christian Veleno picks Charles Radtke “I'm going with Charles NOT_IN_ROSTER_1 Radkkey to get this done by decision.”
TS The Sports Scientist picks Francisco Prado “Francisco Prado uh is on a threeight losing skin and uh Charles Radkkey out of his last six fights has only lost two... I figure this we're going to start off with a very entertaining fight... So, I the safest bet here would be that this fight reaches round two.”
BM BTK MMA picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I'm going to go with Charles Radtke getting this one done.”
IV IVUFC picks Francisco Prado VALUE “I'm taking Ratkkey by decision.”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Charles Radtke VALUE “I really like the submission play from NOT_IN_ROSTER_3.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Radtke11-5
W Prado Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Frunza Submission · R3 Nov '25
L Malott KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Semelsberger KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
L Prates KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
Prado12-4
L Radtke Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Veretennikov Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Matthews Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Zellhuber Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Azaitar KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23