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UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg
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BEST PRICE We back Swanson over Landwehr · Featherweight Our fair value$1.71 LeoVegas (SE) pays above fair $2.00
Where to back Swanson best price · region · EV vs fair $1.71
US BetRivers $1.88 +10%
UK William Hill (UK) $1.91 +12%
EU LeoVegas (SE) $2.00 +17%
AU Bet Right $1.90 +11%
PM Polymarket crowd exchange $1.85
Consensus212 picks · conf 99/99
Swanson 160
52 Landwehr
BPTTJE pick Swanson
How it endsmethod calls · Swanson · crowd line
KO/TKO 25 $2.39
Submission 1 $59.70
Decision 9 $6.63
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Swanson 30-14 VS 18-7 Landwehr
5'8" height 5'9"
146 lb weight 146 lb
70" reach 72"
42 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 6.2
50% striking accuracy 46%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 5.8
59% striking defence 55%
1.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
50% takedown accuracy 41%
63% takedown defence 86%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 1.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market59% vs 50%
Consensus160 of 212 analysts
Sharpest angleSwanson by KO/TKO — 25 of 35 method calls
Recommendation Back Swanson @ $2.00 · fair $1.71 +17% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
AN antsworldd picks Nate Landwehr VALUE “if they go to the ground, I can see Kevin Holland easily submitting Randy Brown.”
CA CasualMMA picks Cub Swanson VALUE “I'm picking Nate Landwear, man. ... I think Landware is going to really bring it to Swanson and I think he's going to make it a sick fight.”
LM Loki MMA picks Cub Swanson VALUE “Cub Swanson versus Nate Lanewear... I'm going to go with Cub Swanson either getting that knockout or just a technical scrappy decision.”
RA RameiMMA picks Cub Swanson VALUE “Cub Swanson and by round three KO”
GM GLO MMA picks Cub Swanson VALUE “None”
GM GLO MMA picks Nate Landwehr VALUE “None”
PM Pak MMA picks Cub Swanson VALUE “NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 Cub Swanson comes down to like NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 Cub Swanson just being way slicker than NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 Nate Landwehr. And I do like NOT_IN_ROSTER_16 Nate Landwehr's chances ... I'm picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 Cub Swanson here”
TS The Sports Scientist picks Cub Swanson “I like Cub Swanson... most most guys uh would actually be, you know, hesitant against Cub Swanson being this is his last fight... I think this fight does not reach round three.”
IV IVUFC picks Cub Swanson VALUE “I'm taking Cub Swanson.”
MD MMA DUMMY picks Cub Swanson VALUE “I think Cub Swanson to win this probably by decision”
CO CozyBoyzMMA picks Cub Swanson VALUE “Cub Swanson by knockout makes more sense.”
RS Run the Seam Show picks Nate Landwehr VALUE
Recent form last five, most recent first
Swanson30-14
W Landwehr KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
W Quarantillo KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Fili Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Dawodu Decision · R3 Aug '23
L Martinez KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22
Landwehr18-7
L Swanson KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
L Charrière KO/TKO · R3 Jul '25
L Doo-ho KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
W Emmers KO/TKO · R1 Mar '24
L Ige Decision · R3 Jun '23