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UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
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JH KJ Hill vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight RF IB Fiziev vs BahamondesMain Card · Lightweight CB RK Blaydes vs KunievMain Card · Heavyweight IN PJ Naurdiev vs Jun-yongPreliminary Card · Middleweight HA MU Abdelwahab vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight NS NM Sadykhov vs MottaMain Card · Lightweight IA KS Alekseeva vs SygułaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight MN BG Naimov vs GradMain Card · Featherweight MM DZ Mullins vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight TU AM Ulanbekov vs MaksumPreliminary Card · Flyweight TM MO Musayev vs OrolbaiMain Card · Catchweight KS OE Seok-hyun vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Bahamondes over Fiziev · Lightweight Our fair value$2.00 Coolbet pays above fair $2.05
Where to back Bahamondes best price · region · EV vs fair $2.00
US ESPN BET $2.00 +0%
UK Paddy Power $2.00 +0%
EU Coolbet $2.05 +3%
AU SportsBet $2.00 +0%
Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Fiziev 22
25 Bahamondes
JSDLMT pick Fiziev
How it endsmethod calls · Bahamondes · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $25.95
Submission 2 $12.97
Decision 10 $2.59
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Fiziev 13-5 VS 0-0 Bahamondes
5'8" height 6'3"
155 lb weight 155 lb
71" reach 75"
33 age 28
Switch stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 7.2
51% striking accuracy 47%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
49% striking defence 57%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
40% takedown accuracy 0%
89% takedown defence 85%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market50% vs 49%
Consensus25 of 47 analysts
Sharpest angleBahamondes by Decision — 10 of 13 method calls
Recommendation Back Bahamondes @ $2.05 · fair $2.00 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
EA EagleMMA picks Rafael Fiziev “Ignacio Bahamondes, I dominantly beat uh Rafael Fiziev decision.”
GM GLO MMA picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “Ignacio Bahamondes is winning this fight by decision.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Ignacio Bahamondes “Ignacio Bahamondes taking on we're going to go with Oban Ignacio Bahamondes.”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Rafael Fiziev “I like Rafael Fiziev”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I'm going to lean with Ignacio Bahamondes here... I'm picking Ignacio Bahamondes.”
SH Showtime50k picks Rafael Fiziev “Actually, I yeah, I'm going to go Rafael Fiziev.”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Rafael Fiziev VALUE “I think Fizzia will close the distance more than we think. ... Give me Rafael Rafael Fiziev by decision.”
WM Windy City MMA picks Ignacio Bahamondes VALUE “I think he is going to, you know, I I think it's a changing of the guard type situation here. And I don't think Rafael Fiziev has lost anything... I think Ignosio is too quick, too clean, hits too hard, and I think he could even honestly find a finish against Rafael Fiziev”
KP Knockout Picks picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I'm going to go with Ignasio Ignacio Bahamondes here.” $1.77
BM BXG MMA picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I'm picking Ignacio Bahamondes to win this one.”
E! Erok ! picks Rafael Fiziev “I'm going to have to go on phys here.”
BB Bookie Beatdown picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I got my boy Ignasio Bahamundes to win the fight” $1.79
Recent form last five, most recent first
Fiziev13-5
W Torres KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
L Ruffy KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Bahamondes Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Gaethje Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Gamrot KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
Bahamondes0-0
L Musayev Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Fiziev Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Turner Submission · R1 Mar '25
W Torres KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W Giagos KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24