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UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
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JH KJ Hill vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight RF IB Fiziev vs BahamondesMain Card · Lightweight CB RK Blaydes vs KunievMain Card · Heavyweight IN PJ Naurdiev vs Jun-yongPreliminary Card · Middleweight HA MU Abdelwahab vs UsmanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight NS NM Sadykhov vs MottaMain Card · Lightweight IA KS Alekseeva vs SygułaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight MN BG Naimov vs GradMain Card · Featherweight MM DZ Mullins vs ZheleznyakovaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight TU AM Ulanbekov vs MaksumPreliminary Card · Flyweight TM MO Musayev vs OrolbaiMain Card · Catchweight KS OE Seok-hyun vs ElliottPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Blaydes over Kuniev · Heavyweight Our fair value$1.35 Pinnacle pays above fair $1.39
Where to back Blaydes best price · region · EV vs fair $1.35
US DraftKings $1.38 +2%
UK Virgin Bet $1.37 +1%
EU Pinnacle $1.39 +3%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.38 +2%
Consensus31 picks · conf 54/99
Blaydes 25
6 Kuniev
BBJTDO pick Blaydes
How it endsmethod calls · Blaydes · crowd line
KO/TKO 19 $1.71
Submission 1 $32.46
Decision 4 $8.12
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Blaydes 0-0 VS 12-3-1 Kuniev
6'4" height 6'4"
256 lb weight 264 lb
80" reach 76"
35 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 5.8
50% striking accuracy 72%
1.9 strikes absorbed / min 1.2
58% striking defence 55%
5.7 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
53% takedown accuracy 75%
31% takedown defence 100%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market74% vs 72%
Consensus25 of 31 analysts
Sharpest angleBlaydes by KO/TKO — 19 of 24 method calls
Recommendation Back Blaydes @ $1.39 · fair $1.35 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE “Curtis Blaydes is going to win this by knockout in the first round.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Rizvan Kuniev “Give me Rizvan Kuniev.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Curtis Blaydes “Put Put me down for Curtis Blaydes at minus 258... Lock Curtis Blaydes in for me.”
SH Showtime50k picks Curtis Blaydes “I think Curtis Blaydes should win this one”
WM Windy City MMA picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE “I think Curtis Blaydes is going to win. He's going to win easy. He should, but again, could get a bad decision. Who knows?”
KP Knockout Picks picks Curtis Blaydes “I'm going to go with Curtis Blaydes.” $1.36
BM BXG MMA picks Curtis Blaydes “I'm picking Curtis Blaydes via like decision decision. Maybe maybe a maybe. You know what? I'll go like a round three like ground and pound KO TKO.”
BB Bookie Beatdown picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE “I think Curtis Blaydes is a great spot here.” $1.38
PR Premium-Picks picks Curtis Blaydes “give me Curtis Blades” $1.33
DI Diretasso picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE “o Curtis Blaydes é favorito com 71%”
DI Dynamic Instability picks Curtis Blaydes “I think Curtis Blaydes should be able to get this one done.”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Rizvan Kuniev VALUE “I like Rizvan Kuniev, for like nothing more than this just feels so weird, so bizarre.” $3.20
Recent form last five, most recent first
Blaydes0-0
L Hokit Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Kuniev Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Aspinall KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
W Almeida KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
L Pavlovich KO/TKO · R1 Apr '23
Kuniev12-3-1
W Almeida Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Blaydes Decision · R3 Jun '25