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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Abdelwahab v Usman Heavyweight Our fair value $1.57 best price $1.53 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Abdelwahab best price · region · EV vs fair $1.57
US DraftKings $1.51 -4%
UK Paddy Power $1.50 -5%
EU Pinnacle $1.53 -3%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.50 -5%
Consensus44 picks · conf 65/99
Abdelwahab 28
16 Usman
BHLTDL pick Abdelwahab
How it endsmethod calls · Abdelwahab · crowd line
Decision 12 $1.57
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Abdelwahab 5-0 VS 12-4 Usman
6'2" height 6'2"
264 lb weight 244 lb
72" reach 79"
33 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.9 strikes landed / min 3.9
52% striking accuracy 44%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
59% striking defence 57%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.5
75% takedown accuracy 66%
0% takedown defence 61%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 2.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market64% vs 65%
Consensus28 of 44 analysts
Sharpest angleAbdelwahab by Decision — 12 of 12 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Mohammed Usman VALUE “I'm picking Muhammad Usman to get this done by knockout probably in the first or second round.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Mohammed Usman “I'm going to take the dog here against Hamdy Abdelwahab... I'm taking the underdog.”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm gonna pick him by decision kind of.”
SH Showtime50k picks Mohammed Usman “I'm going to go Mohammed Usman for this one.”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I think Hamdy Abdelwahab will get the decision.”
WM Windy City MMA picks Mohammed Usman VALUE “I don't know who the who the matchmaker is cuz these guys do not finish anybody... I was going through them... I had Mohammed Usuzman... He's very large. Has a long reach... So, if he gets him to the ground, then I guess Hami does get the W.”
KP Knockout Picks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm going to lean Hamdah Hab to get it done on the cards.”
BM BXG MMA picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm going to go with Hamdi Abdullah Wahad.”
AM ANCHOR MMA picks Hamdy Abdelwahab “I'm going Hamdi Abdalah Wahab”
PR Premium-Picks picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “I got to go with Hamdy Abdelwahab here.” $1.62
TP TCMMA Podcast picks Mohammed Usman “Abdel Wahab as the favorite”
DI Diretasso picks Hamdy Abdelwahab VALUE “o favorito é o Hamdy Abdelwahab com 61%”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Abdelwahab5-0
W Barnett Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Usman Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Pogues Decision · R3 Feb '25
Usman12-4
W Abdelwahab Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Petersen Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Parkin Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Collier Decision · R3 Sep '23
W Pauga KO/TKO · R2 Aug '22