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UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
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AP KJ Pereira vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight JP RP Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight MB JA Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight RD KH Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight KH KV Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight JB ST Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight IL MR Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight AH AH Hernandez vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight CA IP Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight RS OP Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight TP CE Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight CM TM McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE We back Dolidze over Holland · Middleweight Our fair value$2.24 Unibet pays above fair $2.32
Where to back Dolidze best price · region · EV vs fair $2.24
US BetRivers $2.32 +4%
UK Virgin Bet $2.32 +4%
EU Unibet (EU) $2.32 +4%
AU Unibet $2.32 +4%
Consensus34 picks · conf 57/99
Dolidze 17
17 Holland
BMTBPL pick Dolidze
How it endsmethod calls · Dolidze · crowd line
Submission 3 $6.71
Decision 6 $3.35
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dolidze 15-4 VS 28-15 Holland
6'2" height 6'3"
185 lb weight 170 lb
76" reach 81"
37 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.2 strikes landed / min 4.2
42% striking accuracy 49%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
50% striking defence 50%
1.3 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
42% takedown accuracy 38%
33% takedown defence 54%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market45% vs 43%
Consensus17 of 34 analysts
Sharpest angleDolidze by Decision — 6 of 9 method calls
Recommendation Back Dolidze @ $2.32 · fair $2.24 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ST Stephen Wonderboy Thompson picks Roman Dolidze “I'm going to Roman Dolidze”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Roman Dolidze “I'm gonna go with Roman Dolidze as my third with the Roman Dolidze on this one... sure I'll take Roman Dolidze”
IL IBG Live picks Kevin Holland “man I think uh Kevin Holland knocks out”
KU Kunath picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “so somebody you might want in value play consideration and larger field stuff”
DS Dynes Sports picks Roman Dolidze “I'm GNA kind of Roman Dolidze on the Roman Dolidze side at least right now”
RB Rated-R Brothers picks Roman Dolidze “I gotta go for Roman Dolidze winning this fight”
DR DRYWALL picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “Roman Dolidze although we think his skills are not what they need to be ... we're picking him by decision”
DR DRYWALL picks Kevin Holland VALUE “Kevin Holland although we think his skills are not what they need to be ... we're picking him by decision”
PR Premium-Picks picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “deled a submission plus 1500” $16.00
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Roman Dolidze “I'm going to go with Roman Dolidze Dolidze to get the win”
WP We Want Picks picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “Roman Dolidze deled is going to be the pick”
FI FightOwl picks Roman Dolidze VALUE “you can't ego fight with Killers like Roman Dolidze”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dolidze15-4
L Duncan Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Hernandez Submission · R4 Aug '25
W Vettori Decision · R5 Mar '25
W Holland KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
W Smith Decision · R3 Jun '24
Holland28-15
W Brown Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Malott Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Luque Submission · R2 Jun '25
W Nelson Decision · R3 Mar '25