Choose a fight to analyse
AP
KJ
Pereira vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
JP
RP
Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MB
JA
Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
RD
KH
Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
KH
KV
Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JB
ST
Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight
IL
MR
Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
AH
Hernandez vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CA
IP
Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RS
OP
Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TP
CE
Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CM
TM
McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
KJ
Pereira vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
JP
RP
Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MB
JA
Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
RD
KH
Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
KH
KV
Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JB
ST
Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight
IL
MR
Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
AH
Hernandez vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CA
IP
Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RS
OP
Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TP
CE
Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CM
TM
McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Pennington
over Esparza · Women'S Strawweight
Our fair value$1.51
pays above fair
$1.54
Best prices · Pennington
BetMGM · US
$1.54
LiveScore Bet · UK
$1.52
LiveScore Bet (EU) · EU
$1.52
TAB · AU
$1.52
Where to back Pennington
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.51
US
BetMGM
$1.54
+2%
BetMGM
$1.54
+2%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$1.52
+1%
LiveScore Bet
$1.52
+1%
EU
LiveScore Bet (EU)
$1.52
+1%
LiveScore Bet (EU)
$1.52
+1%
AU
TAB
$1.52
+1%
TAB
$1.52
+1%
How it endsmethod calls · Pennington · crowd line
Decision
3
$1.51
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pennington 14-7
VS
20-8 Esparza
5'1"
height
5'1"
114 lb
weight
115 lb
61"
reach
63"
36
age
38
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
2.2
47%
striking accuracy
39%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.9
61%
striking defence
54%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
3.3
14%
takedown accuracy
36%
63%
takedown defence
47%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
0.3
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 65%
Consensus17 of 23 analysts
Sharpest anglePennington by Decision — 3 of 3 method calls
Recommendation
Back Pennington @ $1.54 · fair $1.51
+2% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
ES
etoft21 sports picks Tecia Pennington
“Tecia Pennington has the skills on the feet and on the ground to handle Carla Esparza I just don't think it's going to happen”
etoft21 sports picks Tecia Pennington
“Tecia Pennington has the skills on the feet and on the ground to handle Carla Esparza I just don't think it's going to happen”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Tecia Pennington
“Tecia Pennington all day long ... I'm gonna go with Tecia Pennington”
The Rambling Dad picks Tecia Pennington
“Tecia Pennington all day long ... I'm gonna go with Tecia Pennington”
KU
Kunath picks Carla Esparza
“I like the higher on significant strike count for both Austin Hubbard and Carla Esparza as well”
Kunath picks Carla Esparza
“I like the higher on significant strike count for both Austin Hubbard and Carla Esparza as well”
KU
Kunath picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I think that Carlo sparza goes in there hunts for takedowns secures a handful of them and just does enough to win these rounds”
Kunath picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I think that Carlo sparza goes in there hunts for takedowns secures a handful of them and just does enough to win these rounds”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Tecia Pennington
“I like Tecia Pennington here at the Tecia Pennington ... I'm leaning Tecia Pennington by decision ... I like Tecia Pennington a lot ... yeah I like her ... have to kind of take Tecia Pennington here”
Dynes Sports picks Tecia Pennington
“I like Tecia Pennington here at the Tecia Pennington ... I'm leaning Tecia Pennington by decision ... I like Tecia Pennington a lot ... yeah I like her ... have to kind of take Tecia Pennington here”
DR
DRYWALL picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I'm G to have action on it's all going to be centered around César Almeida ... we're picking him by decision”
DRYWALL picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I'm G to have action on it's all going to be centered around César Almeida ... we're picking him by decision”
DR
DRYWALL picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“we like Carla Esparza former champ taking on Tisha to Tecia Pennington ... we like the Tisha Pennington side”
DRYWALL picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“we like Carla Esparza former champ taking on Tisha to Tecia Pennington ... we like the Tisha Pennington side”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Carla Esparza
“I think Tisha decisions her”
Premium-Picks picks Carla Esparza
“I think Tisha decisions her”
PR
Premium-Picks picks Tecia Pennington
“give me Carla barza”
Premium-Picks picks Tecia Pennington
“give me Carla barza”
WP
We Want Picks picks Tecia Pennington
“I do think Tecia Pennington penon is going to get it done”
We Want Picks picks Tecia Pennington
“I do think Tecia Pennington penon is going to get it done”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“I will take that all day Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt McGee to means plus 190”
Extra Thiccc picks Carla Esparza VALUE
“I will take that all day Khalil Rountree Jr.ourt McGee to means plus 190”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I think T gets it done”
Extra Thiccc picks Tecia Pennington VALUE
“I think T gets it done”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pennington14-7
L
Gomes
Nov '25
W
Pinheiro
May '25
W
Esparza
Oct '24
L
Ricci
May '24
Esparza20-8
L
Pennington
Oct '24
L
Weili
Nov '22
W
Namajunas
May '22
W
Xiaonan
May '21
W
Rodriguez
Jul '20