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UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Lucindo v Rodriguez Women'S Strawweight Our fair value $1.59 best price $1.61 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Lucindo best price · region · EV vs fair $1.59
US LowVig.ag $1.61 +1%
UK Paddy Power $1.53 -4%
EU Pinnacle $1.60 +0%
AU PlayUp $1.58 -1%
Consensus23 picks · conf 47/99
Lucindo 15
8 Rodriguez
bUSLCP pick Lucindo
How it endsmethod calls · Lucindo · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $7.97
Decision 4 $1.99
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Lucindo 17-5 VS 17-5-2 Rodriguez
5'3" height 5'4"
115 lb weight 125 lb
66" reach 64"
24 age 39
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 4.6
45% striking accuracy 46%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
66% striking defence 55%
2.4 takedowns / 15 min 0.3
57% takedown accuracy 50%
66% takedown defence 62%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market63% vs 62%
Consensus15 of 23 analysts
Sharpest angleLucindo by Decision — 4 of 5 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Iasmin Lucindo “I think Iasmin Lucindo she has decent pop... so we know that taking on Marina Rodriguez at 140...”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Iasmin Lucindo “I'm going to go with Iasmin Lucindo”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Marina Rodriguez “taking the underdog here in Marina Rodriguez”
KU Kunath picks Iasmin Lucindo “you've got Iasmin Lucindo who's 15 years younger grappling Edge”
DS Dynes Sports picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE “I'd rather be on the Marina Rodriguez”
DS Dynes Sports picks Iasmin Lucindo “not going to be shocked if Iasmin Lucindo is Iasmin Lucindo here... Iasmin Lucindo favored here... spot minus 180 against Marina Rodriguez” $1.56
DR DRYWALL picks Iasmin Lucindo VALUE “I like Iasmin Lucindo is just getting really good with every fight”
DR DRYWALL picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE “Marina Rodriguez she probably is a solid dog”
PR Premium-Picks picks Iasmin Lucindo “I guess I'm going to lean eisan”
WP We Want Picks picks Iasmin Lucindo VALUE “eisan lendo should win”
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Iasmin Lucindo “I unanimous decision I have is man over Marina Rodriguez”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Marina Rodriguez VALUE “I'm going to go with Marina Rodriguez by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Lucindo17-5
W Hill Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Lemos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Rodriguez Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Kowalkiewicz Decision · R3 May '24
W Viana Submission · R2 Aug '23
Rodriguez17-5-2
L Robertson KO/TKO · R2 May '25
L Lucindo Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Andrade Decision · R3 Apr '24
W Waterson-Gomez KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
L Jandiroba Decision · R3 May '23