Choose a fight to analyse
AP
KJ
Pereira vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
JP
RP
Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MB
JA
Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
RD
KH
Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
KH
KV
Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JB
ST
Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight
IL
MR
Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
AH
Hernandez vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CA
IP
Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RS
OP
Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TP
CE
Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CM
TM
McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
KJ
Pereira vs Jr.Main Card · Light Heavyweight
JP
RP
Peña vs PenningtonMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
MB
JA
Bautista vs AldoMain Card · Bantamweight
RD
KH
Dolidze vs HollandMain Card · Middleweight
KH
KV
Harrison vs VieiraMain Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JB
ST
Buckley vs ThompsonPreliminary Card · Welterweight
IL
MR
Lucindo vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
AH
Hernandez vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CA
IP
Almeida vs PotieriaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
RS
OP
Spann vs PreuxEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
TP
CE
Pennington vs EsparzaEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CM
TM
McGee vs MeansEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Almeida
over Potieria · Middleweight
Our fair value$1.21
pays above fair
$1.24
Best prices · Almeida
BetRivers · US
$1.23
Virgin Bet · UK
$1.23
Betsson · EU
$1.23
TAB · AU
$1.24
Where to back Almeida
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.21
US
BetRivers
$1.23
+2%
BetRivers
$1.23
+2%
UK
Virgin Bet
$1.23
+2%
Virgin Bet
$1.23
+2%
EU
BET
Betsson
$1.23
+2%
AU
TAB
$1.24
+2%
TAB
$1.24
+2%
How it endsmethod calls · Almeida · crowd line
KO/TKO
8
$1.36
Decision
1
$10.91
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Almeida 6-1
VS
20-8 Potieria
6'1"
height
6'3"
185 lb
weight
188 lb
74"
reach
75"
38
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.1
strikes landed / min
4.6
57%
striking accuracy
50%
2.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
47%
striking defence
50%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
0%
takedown accuracy
18%
57%
takedown defence
66%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market83% vs 81%
Consensus16 of 18 analysts
Sharpest angleAlmeida by KO/TKO — 8 of 9 method calls
Recommendation
Back Almeida @ $1.24 · fair $1.21
+2% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
DS
Dynes Sports picks César Almeida
“I like César Almeida here um gonna get caught by César Almeida um ... I like César Almeida again”
Dynes Sports picks César Almeida
“I like César Almeida here um gonna get caught by César Almeida um ... I like César Almeida again”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks César Almeida VALUE
“I'm personally going to be more so on the César Almeidaex Pereira side at at this price tag even it's expensive but I think it's probably warranted uh there are like a few really cheap plays that I think have you know a chance and I do think round tree is one of them so I'll be sprinkling some Round Tree but you know mostly them going to be on the César Almeidaex Pereiray side personally”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks César Almeida VALUE
“I'm personally going to be more so on the César Almeidaex Pereira side at at this price tag even it's expensive but I think it's probably warranted uh there are like a few really cheap plays that I think have you know a chance and I do think round tree is one of them so I'll be sprinkling some Round Tree but you know mostly them going to be on the César Almeidaex Pereiray side personally”
DR
DRYWALL picks César Almeida VALUE
“César Almeida he gets it done early”
DRYWALL picks César Almeida VALUE
“César Almeida he gets it done early”
PR
Premium-Picks picks César Almeida VALUE
“I think César Almeida is Gonna Knock Out ehor”
Premium-Picks picks César Almeida VALUE
“I think César Almeida is Gonna Knock Out ehor”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks César Almeida
“AJ thoughts on José Aldoex Pereira being two feet taller than César Almeida I'm not surprised that he's a bit taller”
MMA EXPERTS picks César Almeida
“AJ thoughts on José Aldoex Pereira being two feet taller than César Almeida I'm not surprised that he's a bit taller”
KM
Keep it a Buck Media picks César Almeida VALUE
“I'm going Austin hubard dog number two I'm going Marina Rodriguez dog number three Stephen Thompson dog number four for this pick I'm going Roman delit dog number five I'm going Kayla Harrison I'm going Jose Aldo dog number six um I'm going Raquel Pennington and co-main and still and then I'm going Alex Pereira in the in the main event”
Keep it a Buck Media picks César Almeida VALUE
“I'm going Austin hubard dog number two I'm going Marina Rodriguez dog number three Stephen Thompson dog number four for this pick I'm going Roman delit dog number five I'm going Kayla Harrison I'm going Jose Aldo dog number six um I'm going Raquel Pennington and co-main and still and then I'm going Alex Pereira in the in the main event”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ihor Potieria
“I went with Ihor Potieria man in all honesty poti areia on the feed in all honesty I know it's going to sound crazy but I think poti areia has a shot on the feet um cesara my subscribers went with César Almeida I went with eho poia I think César Almeida is good but number one Ihor Potieria has the experience in the UFC number two Ihor Potieria the power to actually knock you out number three he has the reach so he can land from a distance and avoid getting hit I know he hasn't been performing well recently but I don't know man I feel like has a sh man um I thinko po areia has a sh um um anyway uh uh I need to clear up space this dude just asking stupid questions in the comment section um anyway um let me proceed uh khon to okay so yeah I'm going with ehop area because I feel like he is the on the feed obviously say Alida is a little bit more accurate um I don't know man now for me on the feed I feel like the fight will be closely matched maybe I could be wrong but also Cesar Al is like 36 36 years old um he's not going to be performing at the highest level of his um skill or career”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ihor Potieria
“I went with Ihor Potieria man in all honesty poti areia on the feed in all honesty I know it's going to sound crazy but I think poti areia has a shot on the feet um cesara my subscribers went with César Almeida I went with eho poia I think César Almeida is good but number one Ihor Potieria has the experience in the UFC number two Ihor Potieria the power to actually knock you out number three he has the reach so he can land from a distance and avoid getting hit I know he hasn't been performing well recently but I don't know man I feel like has a sh man um I thinko po areia has a sh um um anyway uh uh I need to clear up space this dude just asking stupid questions in the comment section um anyway um let me proceed uh khon to okay so yeah I'm going with ehop area because I feel like he is the on the feed obviously say Alida is a little bit more accurate um I don't know man now for me on the feed I feel like the fight will be closely matched maybe I could be wrong but also Cesar Al is like 36 36 years old um he's not going to be performing at the highest level of his um skill or career”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ihor Potieria
“give me Cesar Arma to send Pia to Shadow City give me Cesar Arma to send him to to Ben asrin”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ihor Potieria
“give me Cesar Arma to send Pia to Shadow City give me Cesar Arma to send him to to Ben asrin”
SJ
Shaun Jones picks César Almeida
“César Almeida is going to get this done I'm going to go César Almeida”
Shaun Jones picks César Almeida
“César Almeida is going to get this done I'm going to go César Almeida”
CM
Crashout MMA picks César Almeida VALUE
“César Almeida is going to win by knockout”
Crashout MMA picks César Almeida VALUE
“César Almeida is going to win by knockout”
WP
We Want Picks picks César Almeida VALUE
“he's taking on César Almeida big-time professional kickboxer”
We Want Picks picks César Almeida VALUE
“he's taking on César Almeida big-time professional kickboxer”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Almeida6-1
L
Oleksiejczuk
Dec '25
W
Alhassan
Jan '25
W
Potieria
Oct '24
L
Kopylov
Jun '24
W
Budka
Apr '24
Potieria20-8
L
Tulio
Jan '25
L
Almeida
Oct '24
L
Pereira
May '24
W
Bryczek
Feb '24
L
Bellato
Dec '23