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BEST PRICE We back Meerschaert over Shahbazyan · Middleweight Our fair value$3.22 SportsBet pays above fair $3.78
Where to back Meerschaert best price · region · EV vs fair $3.22
US FanDuel $3.75 +16%
UK Betway $3.60 +12%
EU Betsson $3.65 +13%
AU SportsBet $3.78 +18%
Consensus15 picks · conf 36/99
Meerschaert 6
9 Shahbazyan
bMUCWR pick Meerschaert
How it endsmethod calls · Meerschaert · crowd line
Submission 1 $3.22
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Meerschaert 37-21 VS 16-5 Shahbazyan
6'1" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 185 lb
78" reach 75"
38 age 28
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 4.3
45% striking accuracy 44%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
53% striking defence 66%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
35% takedown accuracy 44%
42% takedown defence 72%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market31% vs 26%
Consensus6 of 15 analysts
Sharpest angleMeerschaert by Submission — 1 of 1 method calls
Recommendation Back Meerschaert @ $3.78 · fair $3.22 +18% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Gerald Meerschaert “I think mir's gonna find a sub we G say round two sub for Gerald Meerschaert”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Gerald Meerschaert “I prefer Gerald Meerschaert ... Gerald Meerschaert clear path to Victory”
WP We Want Picks picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I am going to pick him”
FI FightOwl picks Edmen Shahbazyan “I've gone for Edmen Shahbazyan um again not not about Edmen Shahbazyan yeah only me what just what I was touching on with Edmen Shahbazyan it's Edmen Shahbazyan's got genuine granite in his finish I I loved Edmen Shahbazyan like see a finish for um Edmen Shahbazyan yeah and I I've got Edmen Shahbazyan by stoppage yeah have NOT_IN_ROSTER_11 I've got Edmen Shahbazyan let Edmen Shahbazyan TKO K and got Edmen Shahbazyan to win by TKO or Michael Morales by decision and Edmen Shahbazyan Robert Valentin Mairon Santos Michael Morales and Edmen Shahbazyan”
HB Half The Battle picks Edmen Shahbazyan VALUE “I'll go Gerald mirar for the upset” $3.50
BA babysharpMMA🦈 picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “I like Gerald Meerschaert here dude so we're going Gerald Meerschaert we're just dogging it out this week”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Gerald Meerschaert “give me Edmund as the pick”
TP The Darce Podcast picks Edmen Shahbazyan VALUE “NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 has that Killer Instinct that finishing Instinct NOT_IN_ROSTER_9's taking on Ryan Loder a very good wrestler right guy stays in your face NOT_IN_ROSTER_9's got good takedowns NOT_IN_ROSTER_9's got improved strik too”
TF The ICE Files picks Edmen Shahbazyan “I'm going with our boy Edmen Shahbazyan on that one”
DR DraftKings picks Edmen Shahbazyan “Edmen Shahbazyan has come into his own now... I do think he'll respect um Gerald Meerschaert enough however... I think that Edmen Shahbazyan at this point is seasoned enough to get the win here so I'm leading towards Edmen Shahbazyan uh in this one”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Edmen Shahbazyan VALUE “I'm picking Edmen Shahbazyan as a favorite as a lock of the week with high confidence”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Edmen Shahbazyan “I'm going with Edmund shabazian knock meard out” $1.33
Recent form last five, most recent first
Meerschaert37-21
L Malkoun Decision · R3 May '26
L Daukaus Submission · R1 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Tavares Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Ridder Submission · R3 Nov '24
Shahbazyan16-5
L Allen Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Muniz KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Petroski Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Budka KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Meerschaert Submission · R2 Aug '24