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BEST PRICE We back Buzukja over Marshall · Lightweight Our fair value$2.24 LowVig.ag pays above fair $2.65
Where to back Buzukja best price · region · EV vs fair $2.24
US LowVig.ag $2.65 +18%
UK Paddy Power $2.50 +12%
EU Pinnacle $2.62 +17%
AU PlayUp $2.50 +12%
Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99
Marshall 4
6 Buzukja
RTKO pick Marshall
How it endsmethod calls · Buzukja · crowd line
KO/TKO 1 $4.48
Decision 1 $4.48
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Marshall 9-3 VS 12-5 Buzukja
5'9" height 5'9"
145 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 70"
27 age 28
Orthodox stance Switch
3.7 strikes landed / min 4.2
34% striking accuracy 43%
4.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.8
53% striking defence 48%
2.7 takedowns / 15 min 0.6
41% takedown accuracy 27%
50% takedown defence 75%
0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market45% vs 38%
Consensus6 of 10 analysts
Sharpest angleBuzukja by KO/TKO — 1 of 2 method calls
Recommendation Back Buzukja @ $2.65 · fair $2.24 +18% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Dennis Buzukja “I'm gonna go with the underdog I take Dennis Buzukja”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Francis Marshall “Dennis Buzukja are pretty long shots like Neil Magny has less than a 15% chance”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Francis Marshall VALUE $2.15
WP We Want Picks picks Dennis Buzukja VALUE “I think Dennis Buzukja wins here”
HB Half The Battle picks Francis Marshall “I'm going Francis Marshall here” $1.67
HB Half The Battle picks Dennis Buzukja VALUE “I'm gonna go bazooka for the upset” $2.30
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Francis Marshall “my official pick and this is probably never going to change is Francis Marshall”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Dennis Buzukja “give me Denis bazooka”
TP The Darce Podcast picks Francis Marshall VALUE “I'm gonna get right into this week's NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 parlay bus... next up is Edmund shabazian... last leg of the bus we're going right to the main event NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 I gotta go with the fighting nerd again”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Dennis Buzukja “I'll go with uh I'll go with Dennis Buzukja”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Dennis Buzukja “I'm going Danny Silva”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Francis Marshall “they bring the heat Francis Marshall”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Marshall9-3
W Brennan Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Silva Submission · R1 Feb '26
L Santos Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Buzukja Decision · R3 Aug '24
L Dulgarian KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
Buzukja12-5
L Barbosa KO/TKO · R1 Apr '26
L Marshall Decision · R3 Aug '24
W Matthews KO/TKO · R3 Mar '24
L Emmers KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
L Woodson Decision · R3 Aug '23