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BEST PRICE We back Reese over Daniel Medina · Middleweight Our fair value$1.14 Betr (AU) pays above fair $1.17
Where to back Reese best price · region · EV vs fair $1.14
US FanDuel $1.15 +1%
UK Paddy Power $1.17 +3%
EU Coolbet $1.17 +3%
AU Betr (AU) $1.17 +3%
Consensus16 picks · conf 38/99
Reese 15
1 Daniel Medina
bBMTMU pick Reese
How it endsmethod calls · Reese · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $1.51
Submission 1 $9.08
Decision 1 $9.08
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Reese 10-3 VS 11-6 Daniel Medina
6'4" height 6'0"
185 lb weight 186 lb
77" reach 74"
32 age 35
Switch stance Orthodox
4.6 strikes landed / min 5.6
36% striking accuracy 62%
2.7 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
49% striking defence 68%
1.7 takedowns / 15 min 2.8
69% takedown accuracy 40%
64% takedown defence 90%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 1.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market88% vs 85%
Consensus15 of 16 analysts
Sharpest angleReese by KO/TKO — 6 of 8 method calls
Recommendation Back Reese @ $1.17 · fair $1.14 +3% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Zachary Reese “I'm gonna go with Zachary Reese by KO”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Zachary Reese “feel comfortable with with Zachary Reese and like Zachary Reese could I could easily see think that Zachary Reese ... play Zachary Reese and or Edmen Shahbazyan the inside the distance lines on Zachary Reese”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Zachary Reese VALUE
WP We Want Picks picks Zachary Reese VALUE “Nathan is going to be the pick here”
BE BetSam picks Zachary Reese VALUE “gim me zantis Zachary Reese I believe Ley wins this fight by decision”
HB Half The Battle picks Zachary Reese “I'm going to pick Zack Reese” $1.17
BA babysharpMMA🦈 picks Zachary Reese “Zachary Zachary Reeseseary Zachary Reesese here um um I think he's a really slick fighter and though José Daniel Medina José Daniel Medina Daniel Medina Medina's got heart and all that [ __ ] I just think Zachary Zachary Reeseseary Zachary Reesese is way sharper in every category”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Zachary Reese “my subscribers and I went with um Zachary Reese”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Zachary Reese “Zach Reese that's the pick”
TP The Darce Podcast picks José Daniel Medina VALUE “I'm taking Zachary Reese taking on Jose Medina”
TP The Darce Podcast picks Zachary Reese VALUE “I'm taking Zachary Reese taking on Jose Medina uh just stepping up to to fill the spot I feel like that's what it seems like”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Zachary Reese “so I'm going to sign with Zachary ree”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Reese10-3
L Pereira Decision · R3 Feb '26
W McVey Submission · R2 Nov '25
W Todorović Decision · R3 May '25
L Bekoev KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Medina Decision · R3 Aug '24
Daniel Medina11-6
L Gautier KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Reese Decision · R3 Aug '24