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UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho
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BEST PRICE We back Leonardo over Cong · Women'S Flyweight Our fair value$6.88 PointsBet (AU) pays above fair $8.50
Where to back Leonardo best price · region · EV vs fair $6.88
US BetRivers $8.50 +24%
UK Betway $7.50 +9%
EU Unibet (EU) $7.50 +9%
AU PointsBet (AU) $8.50 +24%
Consensus19 picks · conf 42/99
Cong 15
4 Leonardo
bMTMUB pick Cong
How it endsmethod calls · Leonardo · crowd line
Decision 1 $6.88
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cong 8-1 VS 9-7 Leonardo
5'6" height —
125 lb weight —
67" reach —
34 age 36
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 3.2
46% striking accuracy 38%
1.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.8
70% striking defence 47%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
50% takedown accuracy 27%
100% takedown defence 71%
2.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market15% vs 12%
Consensus4 of 19 analysts
Sharpest angleLeonardo by Decision — 1 of 1 method calls
Recommendation Back Leonardo @ $8.50 · fair $6.88 +24% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Wang Cong VALUE “we're gonna go with Wang Cong”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Wang Cong “my pick tapology be will be Wayne Kong probably TKO round screw round one”
RA RotoGrinders - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Wang Cong “Wang Cong just go out and obliterate ... obliterates Victoria Leonardo and scores on like Victoria Leonardo knock her down four times ... Victoria Leonardo has like less than a 12%”
KM Keep it a Buck Media picks Wang Cong VALUE $1.08
WP We Want Picks picks Wang Cong “Wang Cong is going to be the pick” $1.01
HB Half The Battle picks Wang Cong “I think Kong Wang is going to come out and Destroy Victoria Leonardo” $1.08
BA babysharpMMA🦈 picks Wang Cong VALUE “I just feel like Wang Wang Cong Wang Cong is going to actually be the overwhelming one here on Victoria Leonardo Leonardo because like I said D she kind of reminds me of burns uh Hilbert Herbert whatever um and once she gets cracked a few times dude she's just she does not want any more of it”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Wang Cong VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Wang Cong”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Wang Cong “give me Chong”
TP The Darce Podcast picks Victoria Leonardo VALUE “I'm taking Victoria Leonardo NOT_IN_ROSTER_38 is a minus 1050 favorite in a women's MMA fight”
DR DRYWALL picks Victoria Leonardo “I'm going to go with Victoria Victoria Leonardo to win by decision”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Wang Cong “I'm going to go with Wang Cong Victoria Leonardo's garbage”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cong8-1
W Moura Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Silva Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Brasil Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Fernandes Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Leonardo KO/TKO · R1 Aug '24
Leonardo9-7
L Cong KO/TKO · R1 Aug '24
L Silva KO/TKO · R1 May '23
W Böhm Decision · R3 Jul '22
L Gatto KO/TKO · R2 Aug '21
L Fiorot KO/TKO · R2 Jan '21