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Spivac vs TyburaMain Card · Heavyweight
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Spivac vs TyburaMain Card · Heavyweight
CM
DJ
Mariscal vs JacksonMain Card · Catchweight
DB
NV
Barlow vs VeretennikovMain Card · Catchweight
CG
QL
Gutiérrez vs LeMain Card · Bantamweight
YS
CC
Santos vs ChandlerMain Card · Catchweight
TK
CG
Kazama vs GrigoriouMain Card · Bantamweight
KR
PK
Rosa vs KianzadPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JD
KW
Diniz vs WilliamsPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
YZ
JE
Zalal vs ErrensPreliminary Card · Featherweight
SL
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Luciano vs AlencarPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Prophecy read
Spivac v Tybura
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Spivac 17-6
VS
27-10 Tybura
6'3"
height
6'3"
251 lb
weight
256 lb
78"
reach
78"
31
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
2.5
49%
striking accuracy
45%
3.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.4
50%
striking defence
69%
4.6
takedowns / 15 min
2.6
65%
takedown accuracy
55%
70%
takedown defence
87%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Marcin Tybura
“we're going to go for for Marcin Tybura so goyam”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Serghei Spivac
“one half of the main event Serghei Spivac”
MM
MMAWeekly.com picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“main event features top 10 heavyweights ninth rank Serghei Spivac takes on the eighth rank Contender”
WP
We Want Picks picks Marcin Tybura
“Marcin Tybura is going to be to pick in this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Marcin Tybura VALUE
“I think Marcin Tybura is a good Underdog especially considering he already won this fight”
BM
Brando MMA picks Marcin Tybura
“I'm G to take Marcin Tybura... I'll take Marcin Tybura by decision”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marcin Tybura VALUE
“I personally like the underdog price tag of Marcin Tybura”
UP
UCF Podcast picks Serghei Spivac
“to be picking Serghei Spivac Serghei Spivac is just like a younger version of Marcin Tybura and when he wins by unanimous decision”
MA
MMA Attic picks Serghei Spivac VALUE
“the book odds and the model both favor Sergey here we believe that at 29 years old and with four more years of experience since their first fight minus 155 is a good line to bet on”
$1.65
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Marcin Tybura
“I'm gonna go with Marcin Tybura actually”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Spivac17-6
W
Delija
Feb '26
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jun '25
L
Almeida
Jan '25
W
Tybura
Aug '24
L
Gane
Sep '23
Tybura27-10
L
Fortune
Mar '26
L
Delija
Sep '25
W
Parkin
Mar '25
W
Diniz
Nov '24
L
Spivac
Aug '24