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UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Spivac v Tybura Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus20 picks · conf 43/99
Spivac 7
13 Tybura
FMMMUB pick Spivac
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Spivac 17-6 VS 27-10 Tybura
6'3" height 6'3"
251 lb weight 256 lb
78" reach 78"
31 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 2.5
49% striking accuracy 45%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.4
50% striking defence 69%
4.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.6
65% takedown accuracy 55%
70% takedown defence 87%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Marcin Tybura “we're going to go for for Marcin Tybura so goyam”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Serghei Spivac “one half of the main event Serghei Spivac”
MM MMAWeekly.com picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “main event features top 10 heavyweights ninth rank Serghei Spivac takes on the eighth rank Contender”
WP We Want Picks picks Marcin Tybura “Marcin Tybura is going to be to pick in this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “I think Marcin Tybura is a good Underdog especially considering he already won this fight”
PR Premium-Picks picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “I think Ty wins the fight” $2.25
BM Brando MMA picks Marcin Tybura “I'm G to take Marcin Tybura... I'll take Marcin Tybura by decision”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “I personally like the underdog price tag of Marcin Tybura”
EB ESPN BET picks Marcin Tybura VALUE “I think the value is in him as the underdog” $2.01
UP UCF Podcast picks Serghei Spivac “to be picking Serghei Spivac Serghei Spivac is just like a younger version of Marcin Tybura and when he wins by unanimous decision”
MA MMA Attic picks Serghei Spivac VALUE “the book odds and the model both favor Sergey here we believe that at 29 years old and with four more years of experience since their first fight minus 155 is a good line to bet on” $1.65
TG THE MMA GURU picks Marcin Tybura “I'm gonna go with Marcin Tybura actually”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Spivac17-6
W Delija Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Almeida KO/TKO · R1 Jan '25
W Tybura Submission · R1 Aug '24
L Gane KO/TKO · R2 Sep '23
Tybura27-10
L Fortune Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Delija KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Parkin Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Diniz KO/TKO · R2 Nov '24
L Spivac Submission · R1 Aug '24